Lay-zy Dogs System Review

Lay-zy Dogs System Review

Lay-zy Dogs System

Lay-zy Dogs

Lay-zy Dogs is a laying system for the UK Greyhound Meetings.   The cost of the system is £37 which gives you a 23-page PDF of the Lay-zy Dogs system rules and a full worked example of the rules.

There are seven Lay-zy Dog rules to apply which focus on finding the combination of poor trap draw and likely poor performance of the dog in that trap.   The rules take a little bit of getting used to but once you have done a few selections it does become easier.   In fact I found myself operating the rules in a slightly different order due to how the data appeared on the websites.

In terms of what do you need to run Lay-zy dogs?   You need access to the Internet and two websites, The Greyhound Breeding and Racing Database and The Racing Post, both of which are free to access.   Because there are many races to look through, I found it useful to use my printer to produce a hardcopy of the meeting (not individual races) .   In this way I could mark off whether a meeting qualified for selection or not.

Personally I would also recommend a betting bot if you cannot, or do not want to be sat at in front of the computer all day.   Lay-zy Dogs selections can be made the evening before, or on the morning of, the day’s racing. Therefore it is simple enough to load them into your bot in the morning and fire it up.

Matt Houghton, author of Lay-zy Dogs, does address the little concern I have with any laying greyhound system, which is the issue of liquidity an liability.   The liquidity of the markets is not good, therefore it can lead to some serious liability, which is reflected by the limit placed on the lay bets of 11.0.   However, Matt keeps the losses to a minimum by advising staking to liability and specifically suggesting laying to a liability of 5% of your bank.   Although if you feel this is too adventurous, or not adventurous enough, you can adjust your stake accordingly.

As for how I intend to approach the Lay-zy Dogs review?    I will select two or three cards at random and make the selections from those cards.   I will start with a betting bank of £1,000 and stake to 5% liability as suggested in the manual.   The selections will be monitored via paper trading on a betting bot to determine the lay odds available. The Lay-zy Dogs ’virtual bets’ will be placed in the 20 seconds before the scheduled race start.

I have included the Industry SP in the results purely for comparision purposes only.   They play NO part in any of the bet calculations.   It will be interesting to see how the exchange odds differ from the bookie prices.

At the end of our 45 OnlineBettingExposed review of Lay-zy Dogs, how did our canine sports friends fare?

Well, I have to conclude…not very well. Let’s examine the statistics and the facts.

  • Number of betting days: 45
  • Gross Loss: -£44.45
  • Net loss: -£81.45 (including cost of system)
  • ROI: -15%
  • Strike Rate: 86.1%
  • Average Odds: 7.51
  • Average no of races per day: 27
  • Average qualifying races per day: 16
  • Betfair odds exceeded ISP by 1,000%: twice
  • Betfair odds exceeded ISP by 500%: 10 times
  • Betfair odds exceeded ISP by 100%: 175 times

So, what do these statistic tell us? Well, initially the system did not make a profit on its recommended staking strategy, which is always a bad start. An £81 loss is not good in anybody’s language.

The strike rate of 86.1% sounds, on the face of it, a pretty good achievement. So we have to look at the odds that we encountered to understand why Lay-zy Dogs didn’t make a profit. At an average odds of 7.51, the recommended staking strategy of laying to liability, just wasn’t making enough to cover the losing bets. When you are talking about an AVERAGE of 7.51, there will be plenty of odds in the mix of 8,9,10 and 11. In fact, we found that over 36% of the time, qualifying races had odds in the top quartile of the odds range (i.e. between 8.25 and 11.00).  This means that the system is making peanuts whilst waiting for its next loss.

While looking at the odds achieved for Lay-zy Dogs, we must also make note of the difference between the Betfair odds achieved 20 seconds before the off and the Bookie SP. Why? Because this is a clear indication of the liquidity in the market. Although the bookies may be willing to give decent odds to attract your money, you have to turn to a betting exchange, such as Betfair, to accomodate lay betting. So while a decent back price of 5/1 or 6/1 may be available at ‘Corner Shop Turf Accountants’, lay odds of 15.0 may be all that is available on the exchange.

Now you might say, well that is fine, the system is filtering these out. But it is not filtering out a poor betting opportunity, it is more a measure of how many people are in front of a screen putting there money up. We saw in the detailed results how one meeting with a decent set of ISP can have qualifying races on the exchange, whilst another meeting can have odds that are a million miles away on the exchange. Therefore it is obvious that other factors enter into moving the odds into the qualifying range including: whether the track is a popular track; whether the meeting is at an accessible time of the day (i.e. it’s not lunch time or fetch the kids from school time); and, even as far as whether people have popped out to put the kettle on. That is no joke, when the odds can be moved several points by one or two people, that is an market with poor liquidity.

Let’s move on to the amount of effort involved to operate the Lay-zy Dogs system. Going through all of the meetings every day, we found that there were an average of 27 potential qualifying races per day. On a Friday and Saturday there could be approaching 40. Now we think we got the selection process down pretty slick, including selecting the races, analysing the race card of the selcted races, recording the selection, entering the selection into the betting bot (yes this is important) and recording the final results. As a reasonably conservative estimate, we reckon you can count on 3 minutes per race. So at 27 races per day, you will be spending on average very nearly one and a half hours per day running Lay-zy Dogs. Oh…it will be far more until you get used to the system. Now it should be no problem that you spend time on a system, but it must return you a profit…. and a good one at that. So minus marks for Lay-zy Dogs on this point.

To try to put a brave face on things, we did try our best to find a positive side to Lay-zy Dogs. That positive side MIGHT be an alternative staking strategy. We did monitor the system to level £10 stakes and 5% stakes. Whilst the latter still made a loss, level stakes did make a £136 profit, but there is s but….A BIG BUT. Again it comes back to the long odds frequently encountered by the system. One level stake loss with odds of 10.0 will virtually wipe that profit out, but two will obliterate it. Before you ask, yes this did happen more than once. Therefore, level stakes can possibly give you decent rewards, but you have to have a cast iron constitution to withstand the sudden transitions from healthy profit to loss, then to big loss.

As a one last point of note, the final graph of the Lay-zy Dogs profits gives a visual representation of the roller coaster nature of the system. Apart from the early days of the review, theer wasn’t another period that we felt ‘safe’ and profits would stabilise.

So, because of the lack of profit, the lack of liquidity in the Lay-zy Dogs markets, the inordinate amount of work required to operate the system and the amount of vallium that is required to calm the nerves…. Lay-zy Dogs is an out and out failed system.

———- Lay-zy Dogs Detailed Results ——–

Day 1 - Lay-zy Dogs 31/03/2011

There are 13 selections from today’s meetings at Romford, Crayford and Belle Vue:

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
14:08 Romford Pouldine Kiowa 8.00 (6.00) W £3.57 £3.39
14:27 Romford Gouldiam Robin 8.00 (5.50) W £3.60 £3.42
15:17 Crayford Playfield Era 4.60 (4.00) W £7.04 £6.69
16:08 Romford Gulvins Luck 7.00 (5.00) W £4.28 £4.07
16:18 Crayford Heaven Sent >11 (9.00) NoBet
16:37 Crayford Stayinbythewall 10.00 (6.00) W £2.88 £2.73
17:17 Crayford Nanny Ni Hills 3.75 (4.00) L £9.46 -£26.01
18:04 Crayford Fawkham Veri 9.60 (6.00) W £2.87 £2.73
18:18 Crayford Bulletproof 6.00 (6.00) W £4.97 £4.72
19:25 Belle Vue Princess Liz >11 (7.00) NoBet
19:55 Belle Vue Seathwaite City >11 (7.00) NoBet
20:25 Belle Vue Wilcos Thunder >11 (5.50) NoBet
21:40 Belle Vue Autumn Hope >11 (8.00) NoBet

Potentially, it looks like the afternoon meetings, rather than the evening meetings, are better selections to achieve the odds required to make a bet.   No conclusion should be drawn at this early stage for Lay-zy Dogs, but one hypothesis is that the afternoon meetings draw more attention therefore have a greater liquidity that the evening cards.

Lay-zy Dogs Profit / Loss Today: £1.73
Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 87.5%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £501.73

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Day 2 - Lay-zy Dogs 01/04/2011

I have opted for 16 selections from today’s meetings at Oxford, Hove, Monmore and Swindon:

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:19 Oxford Global Maldini 3.95 (3.50) W £8.50 £8.08
12:04 Oxford Dilton Ellie 16.00 (9.00) NoBet
12:27 Hove Viewpark Jinky 18.00 (8.00) NoBet
12:47 Oxford Fane Cracker 12.00 (7.00) NoBet
13:19 Oxford Greencroft Honch 16.50 (9.00) NoBet
13:44 Hove Jumeirah Bee 14.50 (6.00) NoBet
13:58 Hove Johns Not Rotten 16.00 (7.00) NoBet
14:08 Swindon Bolt The Gate 8.60 (6.00) W £3.35 £3.19
14:18 Monmore Kitchen Sink 10.00 (7.00) W £2.85 £2.71
14:37 Monmore Direct Angie 9.00 (6.00) W £3.22 £3.06
15:07 Swindon Clydal Stride 14.00 (8.00) NoBet
15:48 Swindon Line cut 5.60 (3.75) W £5.64 £5.36
16:27 Swindon Annual Arrow 6.40 (5.00) W £4.85 £4.61
17:07 Swindon Class Eagle 10.50 (5.00) W £2.78 £2.64
17:33 Monmore Blazer Diamond 2.92 (2.75) W £13.84 £13.15
18:18 Monmore Murlens Raven 4.50 (4.00) W £7.78 £7.39

A wonderful day today for Lay-zy Dogs, with all qualifiying lay bets winning, giving us a profit of over £50.   Again, it is noticable that the afternoon meetings were able to achieve their bets, this time better than the morning meetings.   This could be another indicator that the afternoon cards are more liquid and potentially give us better odds.

Lay-zy Dogs Profit / Loss Today: £50.18
Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 94.1%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £551.91

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Day 3 - Lay-zy Dogs 02/04/2011

16 selections today from a combination of Crayford, Newcastle, Poole, Sittingbourne and Hall Green.   I have opted for a selection from early afternoon through to late evening to see if there is any noticeable difference in the odds.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
13:11 Crayford Newlawn Scarty 5.40 (4.50) W £6.27 £5.96
13:44 Crayford Swift Rewavance 6.40 (5.00) W £5.17 £4.91
15:37 Newcastle Barrhead Black 22.00 (13.00) NoBet
15:53 Newcastle Matty’s Girl 12.00 (6.00) NoBet
18:33 Poole Rambos Illusion 4.90 (3.25) W £7.22 £6.85
18:44 Sittingbourne Local Event 9.80 (6.00) L £3.24 -£28.48
19:06 Poole Nevus Blue 10.50 (7.00) W £2.85 £2.71
19:50 Hall Green Watch For Fun 21.00 (6.00) NoBet
20:04 Sittingbourne Hedsor Dianne 28.00 (11.00) NoBet
20:05 Hall Green Lagganmore Hawk 13.00 (4.50) NoBet
20:20 Hall Green Ardera Chloe 13.00 (4.50) NoBet
20:36 Sittingbourne Barngrane Alan 10.50 (6.00) W £2.86 £2.72
20:41 Poole King Dior 8.00 (6.00) W £3.90 £3.71
20:52 Sittingbourne Star Fish 7.00 (5.00) W £4.59 £4.36
21:20 Hall Green Ballinclare Lee 85.00 (6.00) NoBet
21:22 Sittingbourne Kiwis Dilemma 20.00 (9.00) NoBet

A small profit of almost £3 today for Lay-zy Dogs, which is better than a loss, so I shouldn’t complain.   However, it is very noticeable how the lay odds on the greyhounds are quite high, hence our seven wins from the day were almost cancelled out by the one loss at Sittingbourne.   One extreme example of the liquidity issue was highlighted in the 21:20 at Hall Green where we could only achieve lay odds of 85.0 within 20 seconds of the race starting, yet 5/1 was available to back Ballinclare Lee with the bookmakers.

Lay-zy Dogs Profit / Loss Today: £2.73
Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 92.0%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £554.64

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Day 4 - Lay-zy Dogs 03/04/2011

Brought back down to earth with a bit of a bump, wiping out any gain the bank had made to-date.   This just shows the impact of a few losing lays at these odds.

Todays’ selections were from every race meeting possible that Betfair was publishing and available through the betting bot.   For the record some points of note are:

  • Two qualifying races at Perry Barr were abandoned, which could have effected the bottom line for the day in either direction.
  • Both the 12:32 at Pery Barr and the 15:27 at Kinsley, the odds disqualified the selection from placing a bet.   However both produced dogs that won their races.   In both cases the odds recorded were not a million miles away from the 11.0 limit set by the system.   Therefore it could have been a pretty disastrous result if they had both qualified.
Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:19 Perry Barr Best Sunshine 12.00 (7.00) NoBet £2.52 £0.00
11:34 Perry Barr Solway King 3.50 (3.25) W £11.09 £10.54
11:58 Hove Doidys Dream 8.20 (5.50) W £3.92 £3.73
12:13 Hove Swift Chariot 11.00 (8.00) W £2.84 £2.70
12:18 Perry Barr Autumn Fusion 5.10 (4.00) L £6.97 -£28.58
12:32 Perry Barr Big Nellie 13.50 (9.00) NoBet
12:42 Hove Mandela House 7.00 (6.00) W £4.53 £4.30
13:04 Perry Barr Chapelane Carty 9.60 (7.00) L £3.18 -£27.37
13:19 Perry Barr Highfire Charlie 3.90 (3.25) L £8.96 -£26.00
13:33 Perry Barr Polnoon Jet 7.80 NoBet Abandonned
13:44 Hove Karma Light 3.40 (3.25) W £10.29 £9.78
13:51 Perry Barr Rhincrew George 9.00 NoBet Abandonned
13:58 Hove Guiness Black 10.50 (8.00) W £2.65 £2.52
14:06 Perry Barr Cragg Merc 12.00 NoBet
15:13 Kinsley Royal Trooper 10.50 (6.00) W £2.66 £2.53
15:22 Oxford Active Wasp 5.40 (5.00) W £5.78 £5.49
15:27 Kinsley Boozed Tangler 11.50 (7.00) NoBet
15:59 Kinsley Satellite Ninja 7.80 (6.00) W £3.78 £3.59
16:14 Kinsley Feystown Ollie 10.00 (9.00) W £2.88 £2.73
16:54 Oxford Greencroft Angel 11.50 (5.00) NoBet
17:11 Oxford Bright Hawk 10.50 (5.00) W £2.74 £2.60
17:27 Oxford Ballymac Said 7.00 (7.00) W £4.36 £4.14
17:44 Oxford Shelbourne Perk 4.30 (4.00) L £7.99 -£26.37

Lay-zy Dogs Profit / Loss Today: -£53.66
Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 85.4%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £500.98

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Day 5 - Lay-zy Dogs 04/04/2011

Not a bad day today.  The 25 selections came from every available meeting. 17 of those selections became qualifying bets of which 16 were winning bets, almost returning what we ‘lost’ yesterday, but nevertheless a nice £44 profit to put in the piggy bank.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:11 Sheffield Melbourne Lad 8.00 (6.00) W £3.58 £3.40
11:34 Hall Green Ballinulty Rebel 8.80 (8.00) W £3.23 £3.07
11:42 Sheffield Owlett Best 4.10 (3.50) W £8.18 £7.78
11:48 Hall Green Ballycotton Doll 11.50 (7.00) NoBet
11:57 Sheffield Stunning Tyson 6.80 (4.50) W £4.44 £4.22
12:12 Sheffield Rockchase Merv 6.80 (5.00) W £4.48 £4.25
12:18 Hall Green Greycott Gromit 10.00 (6.00) W £2.91 £2.76
12:27 Sheffield Brave Sam 7.40 (5.50) W £4.11 £3.91
12:32 Hall Green Azzuri Ella 12.00 (7.00) NoBet
13:19 Hall Green Lowerback Daisy 6.80 (6.00) W £4.57 £4.34
13:51 Hall Green Prodigy Vampire 5.80 (5.00) W £5.57 £5.29
14:08 Monmore Swift Smith 11.50 (8.00) NoBet
14:27 Monmore Cant Buy Time 5.00 (4.00) W £6.75 £6.41
14:57 Swindon Kildee Star 7.00 (6.50) W £4.55 £4.33
15:28 Monmore Kelleher Mist 7.40 (6.00) W £4.30 £4.09
16:08 Monmore Reluctant Chance 5.80 (5.00) W £5.78 £5.49
16:18 Swindon Hurricane Gold 13.50 (6.00) NoBet
16:47 Monmore Radisson Fantasy 6.80 (6.00) W £4.83 £4.59
18:04 Swindon Metropolis 27.00 (15.00) NoBet
18:11 Monmore Rushett Fox 6.40 (5.00) L £5.23 -£28.25
18:28 Nottingham Tuftys Dilemma 24.00 (11.00) NoBet
19:43 Romford Vipar Dart 15.50 (9.00) NoBet
20:36 Nottingham Salacres Class 6.80 (6.00) W £4.63 £4.40
20:47 Romford Tom And Dave 13.50 (5.50) NoBet
21:12 Yarmouth Ballymac Eamonn 6.40 (4.50) W £5.01 £4.76

Lay-zy Dogs Profit / Loss Today: +£44.84
Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 87.9%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £545.82

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Day 6 - Lay-zy Dogs 05/04/2011

A loss in the first qualifying race of the day put us on the back foot from the word go. Then just as a decent profit had been made the last qualifying race wiped all gains out, leaving us with a disappointing but not disastrous 82p loss on the day.

Again there are some extremely notable differences, or should I say gulfs, between the BFSP and ISP late in the day.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:28 Perry Barr Ollie Sykes 3.25 (3.00) L £12.13 -£27.29
11:48 Nottingham Salacres Sky 9.20 (6.00) W £3.16 £3.00
12:32 Nottingham Murray Marvel 15.50 (8.00) NoBet
12:42 Perry Barr Namedandshamed 5.00 (7.00) W £6.52 £6.19
13:04 Nottingham Clean Tag 9.00 (4.50) W £3.30 £3.13
13:12 Perry Barr Wise Jack 5.50 (4.50) W £5.90 £5.60
13:44 Perry Barr Overdale Prince 10.50 (6.00) W £2.82 £2.68
14:08 Crayford Steeple Rd Deas 5.00 (3.25) W £6.74 £6.40
15:17 Sunderland Mill Minder 10.50 (9.00) W £2.87 £2.73
15:28 Crayford Scala Torres 8.60 (7.00) W £3.61 £3.43
15:48 Crayford Indigo Harris 6.80 (6.00) W £4.76 £4.52
15:58 Sunderland Honey Giselle 9.00 (7.00) W £3.48 £3.30
16:18 Sunderland Toems Gold 5.00 (4.50) W £6.99 £6.64
16:27 Crayford Coolruss Shaw 13.50 (7.00) NoBet
17:07 Crayford Rockglen Yorkie 7.80 (5.50) W £4.16 £3.95
17:56 Crayford Orlando Dawn 5.00 (4.00) L £7.13 -£28.51
18:18 Sunderland Ballymac The Man 23.00 (15.00) NoBet
18:33 Kinsley Ferndale Honcho 15.00 (7.00) NoBet
19:01 Newcastle Greenville Girl 25.00 (15.00) NoBet
19:32 Newcastle Target Chip 22.00 (9.00) NoBet
19:35 Hall Green Schofield Bob 11.50 (4.00) NoBet
19:37 Kinsley Snipers Attack 14.50 (7.00) NoBet
19:50 Hall Green Soda Girl 23.00 (7.00) NoBet
20:19 Newcastle Braehead Star 23.00 (17.00) NoBet
20:24 Kinsley Calzaghe Hawk 8.60 (3.75) W £3.56 £3.39
20:41 Kinsley Coolowen Lucky 15.50 (8.00) NoBet

Lay-zy Dogs Profit / Loss Today: -£0.82
Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 87.7%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £545.00

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Day 7 - Lay-zy Dogs 06/04/2011

A good day for us today.  Although we had two losses like yesterday, there were sufficient  other winning races to ensure a modest profit on the day.Once again there is one extremely notable pointer to the lack of liquidity in these market: we could only achieve odds of 75.0 on Betfair in 21:09 at Romford, whereas 7/1 was available from the bookmaker.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:03 Hall Green Killshin Mighty 22.00 (11.00) NoBet
11:34 Hall Green Tummy Bug 21.00 (13.00) NoBet
11:57 Newcastle Alrightthereted 11.50 (7.00) NoBet
12:04 Hall Green Baran Helsinki 14.50 (9.00) NoBet
12:18 Hall Green Bam Bam Bionic 4.50 (4.00) W £7.79 £7.40
13:19 Hall Green Kean Willie 13.00 (6.00) NoBet
13:58 Newcastle Alanas Storm 12.00 (6.00) NoBet
14:08 Hove Ballarina Belle 5.40 (5.00) L £6.28 -£27.62
15:17 Belle Vue Dualla Smoky 8.00 (5.00) W £3.75 £3.56
15:48 Hove Classy Lunar 9.00 (8.00) W £3.30 £3.14
15:58 Belle Vue Jayjay Avanti 12.00 (6.00) NoBet
16:08 Hove Pevensey Patrick 13.00 (9.00) NoBet
16:37 Belle Vue Oscar Bay 7.80 (5.00) W £3.91 £3.71
17:07 Hove Tommys Gem 5.50 (4.00) W £5.95 £5.65
18:18 Belle Vue Kersal Mollie 9.00 (4.50) W £3.38 £3.21
18:28 Swindon Valais Stare 18.50 (7.00) NoBet
18:39 Sunderland Delphin Diva 13.00 (11.00) NoBet
18:56 Sunderland Shes A Livewire 4.00 (3.50) W £9.07 £8.61
19:01 Swindon Swift Lorraine 4.00 (2.50) W £9.21 £8.75
19:06 Yarmouth Riverside Rosie 12.00 (5.00) NoBet
19:11 Sunderland Miami Rainbow 7.00 (6.00) W £4.68 £4.44
19:37 Yarmouth Tidy Up Anna 7.40 (5.00) W £4.42 £4.20
19:46 Romford Marksgirlmel 7.00 (6.00) W £4.75 £4.51
19:48 Swindon Landing Hi 15.50 (5.00) NoBet
19:58 Sunderland Smooth Lee Girl 9.60 (7.00) W £3.34 £3.17
20:03 Romford Jhan 7.00 (6.00) W £4.81 £4.57
20:14 Sunderland Clonmeen Pique 9.00 (7.00) L £3.64 -£29.12
20:19 Swindon Boys Night Out 10.50 (5.00) W £2.91 £2.77
20:35 Romford Fabulous France 7.00 (5.00) W £4.63 £4.40
20:57 Yarmouth Daves Demanc 15.50 (6.00) NoBet
21:02 Sunderland Druids Carmel 9.20 (7.00) W £3.42 £3.25
21:09 Romford Lord Blueboy 75.00 (8.00) NoBet

Lay-zy Dogs Profit / Loss Today: +£18.61
Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 87.9%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £563.61

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Day 8 - Lay-zy Dogs 07/04/2011

A quiet day selection wise, but a nice profit of over £43 for such a reduced list of qualifiers.

11:19 Sunderland Fleeced Foxy 7.80 (5.00) W £4.14 £3.94
11:48 Sunderland Tyrur Vanessa 5.40 (4.50) W £6.45 £6.13
12:18 Sunderland Knockalla Luck 8.00 (6.00) W £4.10 £3.89
13:51 Sunderland Chaz And Daz 10.50 (9.00) W £3.04 £2.89
14:57 Crayford Captain Toby 4.90 (3.50) W £7.44 £7.07
15:17 Crayford Option Be 5.90 (4.50) W £6.00 £5.70
17:17 Crayford Something Old 15.00 (4.50)
18:04 Crayford You’re A Winner 6.00 (4.50) W £5.93 £5.64
18:11 Romford Kamjam Jack 11.50 (6.00)
18:38 Newcastle Ghetto Major 22.00 (15.00)
19:06 Sittingbourne Rians Fire 9.60 (6.00) W £3.48 £3.31
19:58 Newcastle Ludworth Jacob 12.00 (9.00)
20:13 Newcastle Tursdale Lucky Substituted
20:28 Newcastle Pebble Lane 6.80 (4.50) W £5.19 £4.93

Lay-zy Dogs Profit / Loss Today: +£43.49
Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 89.0%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £607.10

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Day 9 - Lay-zy Dogs 08/04/2011

On the face of it an excellent day just spoilt slightly by our last selection of the day losing.   In spite of this loss, we have ended up with a tidy £40 profit.

However, what the figures do not show is that two of the initial qualifiers actually won their races, and were only just outside the odds range of 11.0 to qualify. They were Fragrant Rose in the 11:03 at Oxford and Hanielle in the 17:22 at Swindon. You might say that the systems has done it’s job and filterred these out. But I don’t think it is a simple as that.  It comes back to my concern of the liquidity in these markets.

I exaggerate slightly here for effect. We have seen that there can be a huge difference between ISP and BFSP because there is not the liquidity in the Betfair markets. Therefore it only takes one or two people placing, or not placing, a bet to swing the odds available a couple of points in either direction.   In today’s case of Fragrant Rose and Hanielle, a couple of points would have included them both as qualifying selections and over a £60 loss. This would have put a completely different complexion on the day with a £20 loss.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:03 Oxford Fragrant Rose 13.50 (11.00) NoBet
11:28 Hove Viewpark Jinky 14.50 (8.00) NoBet
11:48 Oxford Ms Calypso 6.00 (7.00) W £6.07 £5.77
11:57 Hove Droopys Alexa 8.80 (6.00) W £3.93 £3.73
12:04 Oxford Sierra Vista 16.00 (7.00) NoBet
12:42 Hove Ilovetoboogie 13.50 (9.00) NoBet
12:58 Hove Swift Chariot 4.30 (4.00) W £9.34 £8.88
13:04 Oxford Madam Hawk 6.40 (5.00) W £5.79 £5.50
13:12 Hove Baran Nevada 4.90 (5.00) W £8.09 £7.69
14:08 Swindon Annual Arrow 8.80 (6.00) W £4.09 £3.89
14:18 Monmore Dadleys Storm 9.20 (9.00) W £3.92 £3.72
14:27 Swindon Droopys Mylene 19.00 (9.00) NoBet
15:28 Swindon Quivers Charm 6.00 (6.00) W £6.46 £6.14
16:47 Swindon Great Waltz 17.00 (7.00) NoBet
16:57 Monmore Ballymac Cat 9.80 (7.00) W £3.71 £3.52
17:22 Swindon Hanielle 19.50 (7.00) NoBet
17:33 Monmore Crash Fantastic 8.00 (5.50) W £4.69 £4.45
18:04 Monmore Homestead Camp 4.60 (4.50) W £9.17 £8.71
18:48 Nottingham Clover Walk 11.50 (8.00) NoBet
19:37 Nottingham Blueshavemorefun 12.50 (8.00) NoBet
19:45 Wimbledon Evas Rose 12.00 (6.00) NoBet
19:52 Nottingham Roscoes Shuglet 12.00 (6.00) NoBet
21:00 Wimbledon Must Go 46.00 (11.00) NoBet
21:07 Nottingham Head Iton Gill 25.00 (8.00) NoBet
21:15 Wimbledon Robbos Rose 5.30 (5.00) W £7.78 £7.39
21:22 Nottingham Dunham Diva 14.50 (7.00) NoBet
21:30 Wimbledon Barbican Bolt 18.50 (11.00) NoBet
21:50 Hall Green Badgey Bessie 32.00 (6.00) NoBet
22:05 Hall Green Creakyfloorboard 7.00 (7.00) W £5.64 £5.36
22:35 Hall Green Darbystown Echo 11.00 (6.00) L £3.41 -£34.09

Lay-zy Dogs Profit / Loss Today: +£40.65
Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 89.5%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £647.75

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Day 10 - Lay-zy Dogs 09/04/2011

A modest £17 profit today, and I have to remark that the strike rate of this system is remaining very high, consistently around the 90% mark.   I will be very interested to see how this statistic moves from here, whether it continues at this level, or infact increases/decreases.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
10:38 Crayford Lisnafulla Spark 9.60 (5.50) W £3.77 £3.58
11:16 Romford Blue Louie 17.50 (7.00)
12:08 Crayford Ballybane Nora 8.20 (7.00) W £4.52 £4.30
12:39 Crayford Kingsmill Flair 7.80 (5.00) W £4.82 £4.58
13:04 Romford Plough On Oli 4.40 (4.00) L £9.71 -£33.01
13:11 Crayford Santoi Comet 6.80 (6.00) W £5.41 £5.14
13:19 Romford Envy Ellies Boy 12.50 (7.00)
13:58 Crayford Isaweverything 8.00 (7.00) W £4.52 £4.29
15:33 Newcastle Barrhead Black 11.00 (6.00) W £3.18 £3.02
15:48 Newcastle Alrightthereted 15.00 (7.00)
17:33 Newcastle Centaur Forward 13.00 (7.00)
17:51 Newcastle Bay City Magic 8.80 (5.00) L £4.10 -£31.98
19:22 Sittingbourne Blonde Darvel 4.90 (4.50) W £7.79 £7.40
19:30 Romford Katvon Dee 32.00 (4.00)
19:30 Wimbledon Titch Dollar 4.00 (3.75) W £10.25 £9.74
19:35 Hall Green Pearly Maeve 4.60 (5.50) W £8.68 £8.24
19:45 Wimbledon Eulalia Champion 44.00 (9.00)
19:50 Hall Green Witch Way Henry 8.60 (2.75) W £4.16 £3.96
20:01 Romford Satellite Secret 13.00 (6.00)
20:22 Sittingbourne Glenmore Boy 7.40 (4.00) W £4.98 £4.73
20:48 Romford Brave Stranger 5.10 (4.00) W £7.83 £7.43
20:50 Hall Green Overdale Puzzle Withdrawn
20:53 Hove Zeagle Flashy 15.00 (7.00)
21:00 Wimbledon Newtown The Bizz 15.00 (6.00)
21:05 Hall Green Calzaghe Gale 24.00 (4.50)
21:07 Sittingbourne Offshore Rider 11.00 (5.00) W £3.25 £3.08
21:15 Wimbledon King Lenny 15.00 (5.00)
21:45 Wimbledon Ballygarron Duke 3.45 (3.00) W £13.31 £12.65

Lay-zy Dogs Profit / Loss Today: +£17.15
Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 89.2%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £664.90

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Ten days into the Lay-zy Dogs trial and I decided to do a bit of investigation around the strike rate and see what effect a different staking strategy would have on the numbers. Therefore I put the figures for £10 flat stakes and 5% of betting bank stakes through the spreadsheet and this would be the value of the respective betting banks to-date:

  • Lay-zy Dogs 5% liability            : £664.90   (recommended strategy)
  • Lay-zy Dogs £10 flat stakes     : £845.00
  • Lay-zy Dogs 5% of BB stakes    : £850.78

Now at these odd that we are achieving with Lay-zy Dogs, the flat stakes and 5% stake could be disastrous. But at these strike rates, we could be missing a trick and a valuable opportunity to gain more profit. Yes, when we have a loss it will be quite painful, but the number of winning bets is so high (at the moment) , and the fact that a winning bet earns us significantly more than a winning bet under liability staking, that they easily overturn any deficit.

Therefore I will be reporting on the alternative staking strategies for from here on.   Here’s to some interesting reading :-)

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Day 11 - Lay-zy Dogs 10/04/2011

We just scraped a profit today as a run of ten winners helped a recovery from two early losses.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:19 Perry Barr Best Sunshine 5.00 (4.00) W £8.31 £7.90
11:48 Perry Barr Burnpark Pearl 15.50 (8.00)
11:58 Hove Ballyneale Ted 9.20 (6.00) W £4.10 £3.90
12:27 Hove Johns Not Rotten 20.00 (8.00)
12:42 Hove Karma Rolly 8.80 (6.00) W £4.34 £4.12
12:47 Perry Barr Oakhill Rebel 16.00 (9.00)
12:58 Hove Mandela House 6.40 (6.00) W £6.30 £5.99
13:12 Hove Ayamzalady 4.90 (4.00) L £8.81 -£34.34
13:19 Perry Barr Dukeries Sophie 8.00 (8.00) L £4.66 -£32.62
13:33 Perry Barr Colourful Past 10.00 (5.00) W £3.44 £3.27
13:51 Perry Barr Express Wager 17.50 (9.00)
14:06 Perry Barr Flying Magic 4.00 (3.50) W £10.39 £9.87
14:21 Oxford Reenview Paddy 8.80 (7.00) W £4.06 £3.85
14:28 Kinsley Hoffmans Queen 12.00 (7.00)
14:52 Oxford Roller Girl 8.80 (7.00) W £4.08 £3.88
15:22 Oxford Toms My Boy 9.00 (8.00) W £4.00 £3.80
16:08 Oxford Spot Kick 14.00 (9.00)
16:22 Oxford Blue Light 10.00 (4.50) W £3.58 £3.40
16:37 Oxford Thousand Stars 5.50 (6.00) W £7.20 £6.84
16:54 Oxford Ballymac Queen 15.00 (9.00)
17:04 Kinsley Russanda Razer 7.40 (6.00) W £5.12 £4.86
17:11 Oxford Cahermore Tucks 9.80 (6.00) W £3.75 £3.56
17:27 Oxford Shelbourne Cindy 10.50 (11.00) W £3.49 £3.32
17:49 Kinsley Stone Park Woods 12.00 (8.00)

Lay-zy Dogs Profit / Loss Today: +£1.59
Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 89.0%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £666.49 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £869.00 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £879.12 (5% stakes)

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Day 12 - Lay-zy Dogs 11/04/2011

We have had two losses on other days like today and even turned out a profit, or as near as dammit broke even.   The difference today was a significantly smaller selection of races and a much lower strike rate on the day. Consequently there were not enough winning races to recover from the losses, eding up just over £24 down on the day.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:03 Hall Green Inverbeg 13.50 (7.00) NoBet
11:19 Hall Green Katies Friend 15.50 (7.00) NoBet
11:48 Hall Green Bookies Bill 5.60 (5.50) W £7.24 £6.88
12:04 Hall Green Compass Tucker 8.00 (6.00) W £4.81 £4.57
12:18 Hall Green Kean Willie 14.50 (7.00) NoBet
12:32 Hall Green Warston Joan 11.50 (8.00) NoBet
12:47 Hall Green Aero Miles 6.00 (5.00) W £6.78 £6.44
13:04 Hall Green Sherlock Bones 8.80 (5.00) W £4.39 £4.17
13:19 Hall Green Ryeman Roxy 14.00 (8.00) NoBet
14:08 Monmore Direct Angie 10.50 (8.00) W £3.62 £3.44
14:18 Swindon Unleash Fidel 6.80 (6.00) L £5.97 -£34.60
14:47 Monmore Ballymac Hilary 14.50 (9.00) NoBet
15:58 Swindon Leamy Torres 14.00 (7.00) NoBet
16:08 Monmore Farloe Rocco 7.40 (6.00) W £5.14 £4.88
17:33 Swindon Falkners Quiver 6.00 (4.50) W £6.62 £6.29
17:56 Monmore Melted Lemon 16.00 (9.00) NoBet
18:11 Monmore Ballymac Annette 6.40 (6.00) L £6.19 -£33.43
18:18 Swindon Rallying Time 10.00 (5.50) W £3.53 £3.35
18:38 Romford Lilys Rocket 9.20 (4.50) W £3.89 £3.70
18:48 Nottingham Sky Airwolf 15.50 (9.00) NoBet
19:22 Nottingham Dower Marie 14.00 (9.00) NoBet
20:13 Romford Beat Them James 11.50 (5.00) NoBet

Lay-zy Dogs Profit / Loss Today: -£24.30
Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 88.5%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £642.19 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £842.50 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £840.34 (5% stakes)

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Day 13 - Lay-zy Dogs 12/04/2011

An absolutely disatrous day with a pitiful 53% strike rate for the day. These 8 losses really hit the bank hard and wiped out all of the profit made since the start of the review. This is where the liquidity in these markets really hits home… the winning bets just do not make enough profit to recover from such a hit.   Of course the level stakes and percentage staking plans were hit even harder, in fact immensely hard, because their pholosophies are not concerned with contsraining liability.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:34 Nottingham Aghaburren Pet 18.50 (7.00) NoBet
11:48 Nottingham Cleanasmoney 9.00 (5.50) L £4.01 -£32.11
12:42 Perry Barr Stayers Volcano 4.80 (4.50) L £8.03 -£30.50
12:58 Perry Barr Danzey Patrol 6.40 (5.00) W £5.37 £5.10
13:04 Nottingham Bodell Emma 14.00 (9.00) NoBet
13:12 Perry Barr Iceman Khani 8.60 (8.00) L £3.85 -£29.23
13:19 Nottingham Cool Biko 13.00 (7.00) NoBet
13:27 Perry Barr Brooklawn Kin 9.00 (6.00) W £3.47 £3.30
14:18 Sunderland Kilkenny Suzi 17.00 (13.00) NoBet
14:27 Crayford Stayinbythewall 9.00 (6.00) L £3.49 -£27.94
15:17 Sunderland Toems Gold 6.00 (5.00) W £5.31 £5.04
15:28 Crayford Anicas Beuaty 8.00 (6.00) W £3.83 £3.64
15:38 Sunderland Utopia Ruby 8.00 (6.00) W £3.85 £3.66
16:08 Crayford Clashduff Flight 10.00 (6.00) L £3.02 -£27.16
16:18 Sunderland Kilkenny Offer 6.00 (4.50) W £5.16 £4.90
16:27 Crayford Silveriverfeale 13.00 (7.00) L £2.17 £0.00
18:04 Sunderland North Breeze 10.50 (9.00) W £2.74 £2.60
18:18 Sunderland Witton Ace 6.00 (5.00) L £5.23 -£26.17
18:48 Newcastle Catunda Perry 21.00 (13.00) NoBet
19:06 Newcastle Target Chip 17.00 (11.00) NoBet
19:50 Hall Green Rathvilly Shy 11.50 (5.00) NoBet
20:20 Hall Green Gifted Sue 13.00 (7.00) NoBet
20:50 Hall Green Rushett Honey Withdrawn
20:51 Newcastle Greenville Girl 17.00 (11.00) NoBet
21:22 Newcastle Daynas Badger 4.60 (3.25) L £6.91 -£24.87
21:50 Hall Green Nervous Ellie 4.50 (4.00) W £6.75 £6.41
22:20 Hall Green Crokers Beer 10.00 (7.00) W £2.66 £2.53

Lay-zy Dogs Profit / Loss Today: -£160.80
Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 85.1%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £481.39 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £478.00 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £416.89 (5% stakes)

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Day 14 - Lay-zy Dogs 13/04/2011

Another pretty miserable day.   It is becoming apparent that this system needs a strike rate in the 90% bracket and today could only muster 77%. In any other system this might be acceptable, but it is the odds that are being struck on the exchange that is letting Lay-zy Dogs down at the moment.

Not only that, but we were within a hair’s breadth of two more losing bets.The 17:47 at Belle Vue just evaded qualification with odds of 11.5 and likewise the 18:18 at BelleVue was not that far away with odds of 12.5.   If Fred and Joe punter hadn’t gone to make a cuppa just as this race went off, then they may have  placed a bet and brought these odds into qualification.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:03 Hall Green Greycott Gromit 11.50 (9.00) NoBet
11:11 Newcastle Lil Ranger 4.90 (3.50) W £6.17 £5.86
11:34 Hall Green Pied Prince 13.00 (9.00) NoBet
11:48 Hall Green Movealong Mel 18.00 (11.00) NoBet
12:18 Hall Green Watch That Belle 2.88 (2.75) L £12.96 -£24.36
13:12 Newcastle Timmy Minty 6.80 (5.50) W £3.99 £3.79
13:27 Newcastle Barrhead Black 5.30 (4.50) W £5.43 £5.16
13:44 Newcastle Minty Bullet 4.00 (3.50) L £7.86 -£23.59
13:58 Newcastle Hillview Hooker 7.40 (5.00) W £3.50 £3.33
14:18 Belle Vue Aushound June 11.00 (7.00) W £2.26 £2.14
14:27 Hove Raithby Flyer 3.55 (3.00) L £8.90 -£22.69
14:37 Belle Vue Magna Harp 6.00 (5.00) W £4.31 £4.09
14:57 Belle Vue White Aptchy 7.40 (5.00) W £3.40 £3.23
15:28 Hove Spin Cotton 4.50 (4.50) W £6.26 £5.95
15:38 Belle Vue Arthur Mo 8.80 (5.00) W £2.85 £2.71
15:48 Hove Viewpark Jinky 14.50 (9.00) NoBet
16:08 Hove Raithby Claudette 12.50 (8.00) NoBet
16:27 Hove Champagne Kisses 5.90 (5.00) W £4.56 £4.33
16:37 Belle Vue On Line Lou 15.00 (7.00) NoBet
16:47 Hove Kilara Rumble 16.50 (9.00) NoBet
16:57 Belle Vue Under The Limit 18.50 (9.00) NoBet
17:07 Hove Greenacre Clare 7.00 (5.00) L £3.76 -£22.57
17:22 Hove Teds Rebel 7.00 (7.00) W £3.57 £3.39
17:38 Hove Droopys Sheraton 7.00 (5.00) L £3.60 -£21.61
17:47 Belle Vue Centaur Jag 11.50 (9.00) NoBet
18:04 Belle Vue Dynamo Lucy 13.50 (7.00) NoBet
18:18 Belle Vue Tap The Red 12.50 (6.00) NoBet
18:48 Swindon Kileline Rambler 6.40 (5.50) W £3.80 £3.61
19:22 Swindon Suirview Ruler 10.50 (6.00) W £2.18 £2.07
19:30 Romford Blanemore Boss 17.00 (7.00) NoBet
19:42 Sunderland Gainstown Legend 7.80 (5.00) W £3.06 £2.91
19:46 Romford Satelite Secret 5.00 (4.50) W £5.24 £4.98
20:03 Romford Amazing Fantasy 19.50 (7.00) NoBet
20:28 Sunderland Galgo Ligero 12.50 (9.00) NoBet
20:35 Romford Quivers Music 10.00 (7.00) W £2.36 £2.24
20:43 Sunderland Forge Rose 10.00 (6.00) W £2.37 £2.25
21:07 Swindon Inishowen Ace 12.50 (4.00) NoBet

Lay-zy Dogs Profit / Loss Today: -£52.77
Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 84.6%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £428.62 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £445.20 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £382.57 (5% stakes)

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Day 15 - Lay-zy Dogs 14/04/2011

A better strike rate of 93.7% for the day producing a profit of just over £25. There was that one winning greyhound again that just slipped outside the maximum odds parameter, which would have wiped out the profit for the day had Joe Punter not gone to switch the kettle off.

Interestingly, the level stakes comparison is showing a profit no ahead of the recommended staking plan and the 5% staking plan..

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:03 Sunderland Macys Magic 12.50 (9.00) NoBet
11:19 Sunderland Geraldine Blue 8.00 (5.00) W £3.06 £2.91
11:34 Sunderland Glorias Boy 6.00 (5.00) W £4.32 £4.10
12:04 Sunderland Knockalla Luck 9.00 (7.00) W £2.72 £2.59
12:32 Sunderland Smooth Lee Girl 12.00 (9.00) NoBet
12:47 Sunderland Hello Glen 14.00 (9.00) NoBet
13:33 Sunderland Cairns Valentino 7.80 (6.00) W £3.22 £3.06
14:47 Romford Crafty Barcello 5.10 (4.50) W £5.38 £5.11
15:07 Romford Sheepwalk Dee 8.00 (4.50) L £3.19 -£22.32
16:47 Romford Alrita Harley 8.00 (5.00) W £3.03 £2.88
17:07 Romford Francies Fancy 17.00 (6.00) NoBet
17:56 Romford Plough On Oli 4.50 (4.50) W £6.10 £5.79
18:28 Sittingbourne Miss Spitfire 8.20 (7.00) W £3.01 £2.85
18:56 Newcastle Catylers Dream 20.00 (11.00) NoBet
19:11 Newcastle Fireswild 21.00 (9.00) NoBet
19:22 Sittingbourne Blue Electric 7.80 (7.00) W £3.20 £3.04
19:37 Sittingbourne Droopys Lycra 8.80 (6.50) W £2.81 £2.67
19:40 Belle Vue Grandads Rifle 10.00 (4.00) W £2.45 £2.33
19:52 Sittingbourne Black Slick 14.50 (8.00) NoBet
20:18 Hove Riverside Lord 9.60 (4.50) W £2.58 £2.45
20:22 Sittingbourne Aero Montana 9.00 (6.00) W £2.79 £2.65
20:28 Newcastle Escape Star 7.40 (5.50) W £3.51 £3.33
20:34 Hove Swift Savour 15.50 (13.00) NoBet
20:40 Belle Vue Hades Desire 10.00 (3.50) W £2.51 £2.39
21:22 Sittingbourne Brer Mouse 13.50 (6.00) NoBet
22:10 Belle Vue Bright Impact 14.50 (7.00) NoBet

Lay-zy Dogs Profit / Loss Today: +£25.83
Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 85.3%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £454.45 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £517.70 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £444.81 (5% stakes)

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Day 16 - Lay-zy Dogs 15/04/2011

An 88.2% strike rate for the day has only just managed to scrape a profit of just over £4. This just goes to emphasis the level of strike rate needed by Lay-zy Dogs to maintain a profit. This was aided by the large number of selections for today. The same strike rate on a smaller number of selections would have most likely resulted in a loss. Yet again, there was that one winner with odds lurking not a million miles away from our upper limit.   If this one had received a few more bets it probably would have qualified as a selection and blew the little profit made.

One thing of note is that the level stakes staking plan is leading the field by almost £120, showing a profit of over £70 whilst the other two plans are still in the red. The even up the debate over the odds, the level stakes plan was definitely helped by a very short odds winner in the 20:20 at Hall Green. Also, it should be noted, that at these odds the level stakes profit could be easily stripped right back with a couple of losing bets.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:03 Oxford Oi Oi Gilly 17.00 (17.00) NoBet
11:11 Hove Swift Fountain 14.00 (9.00) NoBet
11:34 Oxford Woodbrook Fancy 9.80 (6.00) W £2.58 £2.45
11:48 Oxford Blue Light 9.00 (7.00) W £2.86 £2.71
12:18 Oxford Dilton Ellie 23.00 (11.00) NoBet
12:27 Hove Lymc Snowie 12.00 (6.00) NoBet
12:32 Oxford Oi Oi Linda 13.50 (8.00) NoBet
12:42 Hove Son Of Hawk 11.50 (7.00) NoBet
12:47 Oxford Winslow Wonder 7.80 (4.00) W £3.38 £3.21
13:04 Oxford Posted Abroad 5.40 (5.00) W £5.26 £5.00
14:08 Swindon Bolt The Gate 7.40 (5.00) W £3.65 £3.47
14:27 Swindon Mrs Wagner Hawk 14.50 (6.00) NoBet
14:57 Monmore Sabotage 12.50 (6.00) NoBet
15:28 Swindon Five Bar Gate 11.00 (6.00) W £2.36 £2.24
15:38 Monmore Sniper Co Co 18.50 (9.00) NoBet
15:48 Swindon Quivers Charm 5.00 (3.50) W £5.92 £5.62
16:18 Monmore Junction Two 18.00 (6.00) NoBet
17:17 Monmore Crash Fantastic 8.60 (6.00) W £3.15 £2.99
17:33 Monmore Texas Revenge 8.60 (6.00) L £3.17 -£24.11
18:04 Monmore Fleetwood Ace 15.00 (7.00) NoBet
18:28 Nottingham Monty Court 13.00 (8.00) NoBet
19:22 Nottingham Toupe Joe 9.80 (6.50) W £2.60 £2.47
19:37 Nottingham Bat Wing 13.50 (7.00) NoBet
19:45 Wimbledon Beckys Mark 7.00 (5.50) W £3.84 £3.65
19:50 Hall Green Westmeath Swift 8.60 (6.00) W £3.05 £2.90
20:00 Wimbledon Toosey Bev 22.00 (9.00) NoBet
20:07 Nottingham Alleyes On Me 8.00 (4.00) W £3.34 £3.17
20:20 Hall Green Viking Bush 2.18 (2.50) L £19.93 -£23.51
20:50 Hall Green Compass Finbarr 15.00 (7.00) NoBet
20:51 Nottingham Captain Baresi 44.00 (13.00) NoBet
21:05 Hall Green Drumcrow Wren 20.00 (6.00) NoBet
21:07 Nottingham Dunham Class 7.00 (3.50) W £3.72 £3.54
21:20 Hall Green Cuddles Again 6.00 (3.25) W £4.50 £4.28
21:30 Wimbledon Robbos Rose 6.40 (6.00) W £4.21 £4.00
21:35 Hall Green Flower Kewell 25.00 (5.50) NoBet
21:50 Hall Green Ballinulty Zone 12.00 (6.00) NoBet

Lay-zy Dogs Profit / Loss Today: +£4.08
Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 85.5%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £458.53 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £572.40 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £492.04 (5% stakes)

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Day 17 - Lay-zy Dogs 16/04/2011

Today is a good illustration of the balancing act that The Lay-zy Dogs system plays.   Let’s compare today’s results with yesterday’s: an 85% srike rate today compared with an 88% strike rate yesterday; one more loss than yesterday (3 compared with 2).   What is the net result? We just about scrape even ( I will excuse the 86p loss).   Unsurprisingly the other staking plans fared slightly worse but nothing to complain about too heartily.

BUT… and when I look at the results I can’t help being drawn towards the same pattern that seems to be occuring quite regularly: The 21:35 at Hall Green and the 21:45 at Wimbledon both had winning dogs (losing bets) and were right on the edge of the maximum odds limit.   If one of these dogs had received just a few more bets then we might have had a qualifier… bad news.   If BOTH of these had qualified, then we would have been in serious trouble.

In this worst case scenario, the recommended staking strategy for Lay-zy Dogs would be the best option, losing between £40 – £50. This is where level staking does not do so well.   In this scenario level staking would have meant a loss in the order of £200.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:16 Romford Dealinwithdanger 12.50 (6.00) NoBet
11:44 Romford Blue Louie 7.00 (5.00) W £3.82 £3.63
11:58 Romford Envy Ellies Boy 17.00 (9.00) NoBet
15:37 Newcastle Fulwood Lass 6.00 (3.50) W £4.62 £4.39
15:53 Newcastle Baltree Spitfire 4.60 (4.00) L £6.48 -£23.33
17:07 Newcastle Lil Ranger 9.60 (7.00) W £2.58 £2.45
17:27 Newcastle Lil Mantos 3.00 (3.00) W £11.14 £10.58
18:16 Newcastle Centaur Forward 28.00 (11.00) NoBet
18:28 Sittingbourne Rambo Saw Us 16.50 (11.00) NoBet
18:38 Monmore Greenlough Lass 16.50 (9.00) NoBet
19:06 Sittingbourne Light Year 5.50 (5.00) L £5.07 -£22.81
19:30 Romford Hightop Sacco 6.40 (4.50) W £4.01 £3.81
19:35 Hall Green Mangan Hope 17.50 (4.50) NoBet
19:37 Sittingbourne Isa Rocky 7.80 (5.00) W £3.22 £3.05
19:42 Monmore Ardera Dakota 5.80 (4.50) W £4.59 £4.36
19:50 Hall Green Jenson Henry 13.00 (4.00) NoBet
19:52 Sittingbourne Really Shady 8.00 (5.00) W £3.18 £3.02
20:00 Wimbledon Newtown Zambrota 25.00 (7.00) NoBet
20:05 Hall Green Pearly Maeve 6.80 (3.50) W £3.86 £3.67
20:17 Romford Barnfield Joany 17.00 (7.00) NoBet
20:20 Hall Green An Duaiseoir 18.00 (6.00) NoBet
20:22 Sittingbourne Cushie Glory 7.80 (6.00) W £3.32 £3.15
20:28 Monmore Mosslane Runner 32.00 (11.00) NoBet
20:36 Hove Karma Hawk 9.80 (5.00) L £2.58 -£22.73
20:37 Sittingbourne Ringaskiddy Lucy 6.40 (5.00) W £4.00 £3.80
20:43 Monmore Curra King 6.40 (4.00) W £4.03 £3.83
20:48 Romford Fabulous France 6.00 (4.50) W £4.39 £4.17
20:50 Hall Green Rosies Black 11.50 (5.00) NoBet
20:53 Hove Guiness best 11.50 (8.00) NoBet
21:05 Hall Green Sarahs Gold 11.00 (3.50) W £2.22 £2.11
21:09 Hove Swift Chariot 5.30 (6.00) W £5.18 £4.92
21:20 Hall Green Bam Bam Bionic 10.00 (5.50) W £2.50 £2.38
21:30 Wimbledon Newtown The Bizz 95.00 (11.00) NoBet
21:35 Hall Green Tictac Chilli 12.00 (6.00) NoBet
21:45 Wimbledon King Graham 12.00 (7.00) NoBet
22:30 Hove Raithby Flyer 5.60 (5.00) W £4.92 £4.68

Lay-zy Dogs Profit / Loss Today: -£0.86
Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 85.5%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £457.67 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £564.90 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £481.11 (5% stakes)

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Day 18 - Lay-zy Dogs 17/04/2011

I may be getting a bit monotonous but there is definitely a pattern emerging with Lay-zy dogs,which consists of two key points:

  1. The maximum number of losing bets, at this level of betsseems to be two.   Any more than that and the day starts to look a bit red.   Today’s strike rate was 88.2%.   To be honest, I don’t think the system could stand a strike rate on the day that was less than this.
  2. There is often, not always admittedly, one or two bets that lie just outside the maximum odds for qualification. With the inconsistency of the odds achieve in these races due to the lack of liquidity in the markets, it would be disastrous if one of these bets was to make it into qualification.

The level stakes and percentage staking plans took a bit of a hit today, with the recommended Lay-zy Dogs staking plan the only one to make a profit.   Again this backs up the fact that the system really needs to achieve a strike rate into the 90?s.  A slightly larger set of races and three more wins today would have achieved a 90% strike rate, which would have also put all three staking plans into profit.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:19 Perry Barr Sparta Tango 11.50 (8.00) NoBet
11:48 Perry Barr Autumn Twister 9.00 (6.00) W £2.86 £2.72
12:18 Perry Barr Lagile Finch 15.00 (8.00) NoBet
12:32 Perry Barr Jills Honey 15.50 (7.00) NoBet
12:47 Perry Barr Burnpark Pearl 11.00 (7.00) L £2.30 -£23.02
13:04 Perry Barr Global Shane 15.50 (9.00) NoBet
13:19 Perry Barr Express Wager 7.80 (6.00) W £3.22 £3.06
14:06 Perry Barr Magical Nova 5.50 (4.50) W £4.89 £4.65
14:12 Hove Pebbles Bobby 6.80 (5.00) W £3.84 £3.65
14:21 Oxford Burwood Layla 13.50 (8.00) NoBet
14:52 Oxford Roller Girl 12.00 (6.00) NoBet
14:58 Kinsley Athlacca Eagle 5.40 (4.50) W £5.10 £4.84
15:22 Oxford Walk Away 6.40 (4.50) W £4.20 £3.99
15:27 Kinsley Annual Stella 8.20 (4.50) W £3.18 £3.02
15:59 Kinsley Shes Perfect 8.00 (5.00) W £3.29 £3.13
16:08 Oxford Meenala Harry 3.50 (2.50) W £9.27 £8.81
16:14 Kinsley Dundrum Model 11.00 (7.00) W £2.36 £2.24
16:22 Oxford Fane Cracker 7.80 (5.00) W £3.49 £3.32
16:28 Kinsley Clongeen Spirit 14.00 (7.00) NoBet
16:37 Oxford Hillcross Gypsy 9.00 (4.50) W £2.99 £2.84
16:54 Oxford Talksport Bolt 9.00 (9.00) W £3.01 £2.86
17:04 Kinsley Karma Drama 8.00 (6.00) L £3.46 -£24.19
17:11 Oxford Shelbourne Carly 8.00 (4.50) W £3.28 £3.12
17:27 Oxford Lady Larnach 8.80 (6.00) W £2.97 £2.82

Lay-zy Dogs Profit / Loss Today: +£7.84
Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 85.7%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £465.51 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £537.40 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £452.27 (5% stakes)

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Day 19 - Lay-zy Dogs 18/04/2011

Deep joy all round today, with a 100% strike rate and no ‘lucky’ avoidances.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:19 Hall Green Kean Willie 7.80 (6.00) W £3.42 £3.25
11:34 Hall Green Warston Joan 15.00 (9.00)
12:04 Hall Green Beatties Wonder 7.80 (7.00) W £3.45 £3.27
12:18 Hall Green Meadovale Ash 7.80 (5.00) W £3.47 £3.30
13:19 Hall Green Glenhill Rebel 7.40 (6.00) W £3.71 £3.53
13:33 Hall Green Fairest Rumble 14.00 (7.00)
14:18 Swindon Da Bandit 4.80 (4.50) W £6.30 £5.99
15:48 Monmore Homestead Camp 9.20 (7.00) W £2.96 £2.81
16:18 Swindon Pretty State 9.00 (4.50) W £3.05 £2.90
16:27 Monmore Ballymac Sun 11.50 (9.00)
16:37 Swindon Clash Ponch 15.50 (9.00)
16:57 Swindon Springlawn Goofy 8.00 (5.00) W £3.50 £3.33
17:56 Monmore Gagsys Classic 6.80 (5.00) W £4.26 £4.04
18:48 Nottingham Bodell Dixie 7.00 (6.00) W £4.15 £3.94
18:56 Romford Rockbrook Bolt 5.40 (4.50) W £5.70 £5.42
19:06 Nottingham Holycross Coco 18.00 (11.00)
19:11 Romford Francies Fancy 8.00 (6.00) W £3.62 £3.44
19:22 Nottingham Fabulous Tally 23.00 (9.00)
19:26 Romford Amazing Fantasy 13.50 (9.00)
19:52 Nottingham Romeo Emperor 11.00 (6.00) W £2.55 £2.43
20:28 Romford Jadies Dancer 15.00 (7.00)
21:22 Nottingham Rock It Reason 3.15 (3.50) W £11.93 £11.34

Lay-zy Dogs Profit / Loss Today: +£58.98
Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 86.4%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £524.49 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £670.40 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £582.39 (5% stakes)

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Day 20 - Lay-zy Dogs 19/04/2011

A poor day with a 75% strike rate on the day giving us a loss over £53.   However, as mentioned previously, the level and percentage staking strategies have suffered far more as a result of this low hit rate, losing £160 and £169 respectively. Level stakes is just holding its head above water, still maintaining a marginal profit due to the good gains this approach makes on a good day.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:03 Nottingham Bodell Emma 30.00 (7.00) NoBet
11:28 Perry Barr Rhincrew George 6.80 (6.00) L £4.52 -£26.22
12:04 Nottingham Dower Marie 7.40 (5.00) W £3.89 £3.70
12:42 Perry Barr Marinas Drogba 8.00 (6.00) W £3.59 £3.41
13:12 Perry Barr Drumscraw Chloe 18.00 (8.00) NoBet
13:19 Nottingham Salacres Boss 4.40 (4.00) W £7.43 £7.06
13:27 Perry Barr Chapelane Carty 5.80 (5.00) W £5.34 £5.07
13:33 Nottingham Capla Mac 10.00 (8.00) L £2.88 -£25.88
13:51 Nottingham Salacres Bentley 4.10 (4.00) W £7.93 £7.53
13:58 Perry Barr Rusty Black 6.00 (4.50) L £4.99 -£24.96
14:08 Crayford Angel Dotcom 19.50 (13.00) NoBet
14:18 Sunderland Snuggle Up 15.00 (9.00) NoBet
14:37 Sunderland On The Box 16.00 NoBet
14:57 Sunderland Winetavern Jolie 14.00 (11.00) NoBet
15:07 Crayford Axminster 3.50 (3.00) W £9.48 £9.01
15:17 Sunderland North Harris 6.40 (5.00) W £4.47 £4.25
15:38 Sunderland Glassmoss Darkey 6.00 (5.00) W £4.87 £4.63
15:58 Sunderland Crosswired 9.00 (7.00) W £3.08 £2.92
16:08 Crayford Clonard Lass 6.40 (6.00) W £4.58 £4.35
16:57 Sunderland Nervous Lee 8.00 (7.00) L £3.57 -£24.97
17:07 Crayford Shanballa Pal 4.50 (3.50) L £6.78 -£23.72
17:38 Crayford Wagga Wagga 4.00 (4.00) W £7.51 £7.14
17:47 Sunderland Bases Loaded 18.00 (11.00) NoBet
18:04 Sunderland Nesebar Surprise 7.40 (6.00) W £3.58 £3.40
18:11 Crayford Swift Rewavance 5.30 (5.00) W £5.36 £5.09
19:06 Newcastle Attykitt Impact 15.50 (6.00) NoBet
19:22 Newcastle Jewel Fantasy 10.50 (7.00) W £2.45 £2.33
19:25 Hall Green Ballybough Zumo 13.50 (6.00) NoBet
19:37 Newcastle Cairns Val 9.60 (6.00) W £2.72 £2.59
20:07 Newcastle Gedi Crystal 22.00 (11.00) NoBet
20:22 Newcastle Target Countess 16.00 (9.00) NoBet
22:00 Hall Green Ryeman Roxy 46.00 (5.50) NoBet

Lay-zy Dogs Profit / Loss Today: -£53.26
Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 85.6%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £471.23 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £509.90 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £413.04 (5% stakes)

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Day 21 - Lay-zy Dogs 20/04/2011

These are the days we like, a 100% strike rate. Almost £80 profit and all staking plans showing profit.   There was just one potetial fly in the ointment with On Line Lou in the 17:47 at Belle Vue winning the race.    Even if the odds had come within the maximum limit there would still have been a nice profit on the day.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:03 Hall Green Crash Kid 10.50 (8.00) W £2.48 £2.36
11:11 Newcastle Dereks Faith 7.40 (4.50) W £3.70 £3.51
11:28 Newcastle Crispy Bacon 9.80 (6.00) W £2.71 £2.58
11:34 Hall Green Carribean Jewel 7.40 (6.00) W £3.75 £3.56
11:42 Newcastle Catylers Dream 24.00 (13.00) NoBet
12:18 Hall Green Montos Flash 12.50 (8.00) NoBet
12:32 Hall Green Minglers Larkin 10.50 (6.00) W £2.54 £2.42
12:42 Newcastle Dusky Lad 26.00 (13.00) NoBet
12:58 Newcastle Drumside Molly 8.00 (6.00) W £3.47 £3.30
13:04 Hall Green Westview Eve 5.50 (4.50) W £5.43 £5.16
13:19 Hall Green Compass Tucker 8.60 (7.00) W £3.25 £3.09
14:08 Hove Droopys Alexa 8.20 (5.00) W £3.45 £3.28
14:18 Belle Vue Dynamo Lucy 11.50 (6.00) NoBet
14:37 Belle Vue Raha Beauty 10.00 (4.50) W £2.78 £2.64
15:07 Hove Call It Scooby 7.80 (5.00) W £3.70 £3.51
15:38 Belle Vue Let Me Through 8.80 (5.50) W £3.25 £3.09
16:18 Belle Vue Pole Lady 13.50 (6.00) NoBet
16:47 Hove Kilara Rumble 18.00 (7.00) NoBet
17:07 Hove Chopin 7.00 (5.00) W £4.25 £4.04
17:17 Belle Vue Gemmas Maxie 3.90 (4.00) W £8.86 £8.41
17:22 Hove Jamaica News 7.40 (5.50) W £4.08 £3.88
17:33 Belle Vue Kersal Mollie 10.50 (5.00) W £2.77 £2.63
17:38 Hove Navanfort Dawn 7.40 (6.00) W £4.13 £3.92
17:47 Belle Vue On Line Lou 14.50 (7.00) NoBet
17:56 Hove Ballarina Belle 10.50 (6.00) W £2.80 £2.66
19:30 Romford Hightop Jester 7.00 (4.50) W £4.46 £4.24
19:37 Swindon Coolykereen Jig 9.60 (7.00) W £3.14 £2.98
20:03 Romford Barnfield Joany 17.00 (9.00) NoBet
20:35 Romford Drumena Ruby 16.50 (6.00) NoBet
20:37 Swindon Boys Night Out 8.00 (5.00) W £3.87 £3.68
20:43 Sunderland Clonlost Storm 18.50 (9.00) NoBet
21:07 Swindon Pick Up Tom 7.00 (5.00) W £4.55 £4.32

Lay-zy Dogs Profit / Loss Today: +£79.25
Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 86.6%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £550.48 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £718.90 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £625.03 (5% stakes)

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Day 22 - Lay-zy Dogs 21/04/2011

Just about a successful day for the recommended staking plan, ma king a £2 profit. Todays strike rate was 88.2%, again going to demostrate the high strike rate needed for this system to be successful. The level staking strategy is starting to build up a nice betting bank adding a respectible £24 today.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:03 Sunderland Russeltown Lady 6.80 (6.00) L £4.75 -£27.52
11:19 Sunderland Peggys Secret 8.20 (7.00) W £3.63 £3.45
12:18 Sunderland Mill Mercedes 7.80 (7.00) W £3.87 £3.68
13:04 Sunderland Tornaroy Tevez (5.00) NoBet (*)
14:27 Romford Romeo Kingdom (6.00) NoBet (*)
14:47 Romford Blue Louie 6.80 (5.50) W £4.57 £4.34
16:47 Romford Dealinwithdanger 10.00 (6.00) W £2.97 £2.82
18:28 Sittingbourne Pellini Blue 5.00 (4.50) W £6.72 £6.38
18:33 Monmore Oprahs Glory 14.00 (9.00) NoBet
18:39 Newcastle Collier Jodie 7.00 (6.00) L £4.53 -£27.18
19:11 Newcastle Berryhill Mal 7.80 (3.50) W £3.80 £3.61
19:25 Belle Vue Hondoshiview 9.80 (4.00) W £2.95 £2.81
19:27 Newcastle Sensible Spice 12.50 (9.00) NoBet
19:30 Hove Shade Of Swallow 10.50 (5.50) W £2.75 £2.61
19:32 Sittingbourne Rambo Saw Us 16.50 (9.00) NoBet
19:40 Belle Vue Thornfield Marco 8.00 (4.00) W £3.75 £3.57
19:55 Belle Vue Fabulous Secret 15.00 (8.00) NoBet
20:02 Hove If Ever 11.50 (6.00) NoBet
20:04 Sittingbourne Droopys Teabag 14.00 (11.00) NoBet
20:18 Hove Mad Loz 9.00 (4.50) W £3.31 £3.14
20:19 Sittingbourne Misusethetruth 5.40 (4.50) W £6.05 £5.75
20:41 Monmore Ardera Lulu 10.00 (7.00) W £2.99 £2.84
20:57 Monmore Illmeettuthere 15.00 (8.00) NoBet
21:07 Sittingbourne Ringaskiddy Lucy 11.00 (6.00) W £2.70 £2.57
21:25 Belle Vue Jenny Sad Eyes 17.00 (6.00) NoBet
22:10 Belle Vue Swift Bedington 18.50 (4.50) NoBet
22:13 Hove Wilfatwelldigger 16.50 (7.00) NoBet
22:25 Belle Vue Southwind Piper 5.30 (3.25) W £6.32 £6.00
22:30 Hove Jessie Tara 9.20 (6.00) W £3.35 £3.18

(*) Note there were Betfair API problems today which meant that these races could not register a bet with the betting bot

Lay-zy Dogs Profit / Loss Today: +£2.04
Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 86.7%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £552.52 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £743.40 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £647.34 (5% stakes)

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Day 23 - Lay-zy Dogs 22/04/2011

An 86.6% strike rate today managed a £4 (almost) profit to the recommeded staking strategy. Level £10 stakes fared the best adding a further £17 to its bank, and 5% stakes was close behind wih £15 profit.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
12:27 Hove Mandela House 7.00 (6.00) L £4.60 -£27.63
13:27 Hove Scarlet Poppy 8.00 (6.00) W £3.75 £3.56
14:08 Swindon Clongeen Machine 8.80 (7.00) W £3.39 £3.22
14:27 Swindon Clash Poncho 12.50 (8.00) NoBet
14:47 Swindon Rumble Katie 4.90 (5.00) W £6.82 £6.48
15:28 Swindon Druidswitchcraft 5.60 (5.00) L £5.85 -£26.91
15:48 Swindon Cefn Devil 7.40 (7.00) W £3.99 £3.79
15:58 Monmore Tyrur Harkins 5.50 (4.50) W £5.72 £5.44
16:08 Swindon Thurlesbeg Bliss 4.80 (4.50) W £6.85 £6.51
16:37 Monmore Iceman Bullet 7.00 (6.00) W £4.39 £4.17
16:47 Swindon Drumnabeys Bonny 9.00 (5.00) W £3.32 £3.15
17:07 Swindon Metropolis 6.40 (7.00) W £4.95 £4.70
17:17 Monmore Ballymac Rem 9.20 (5.00) W £3.29 £3.12
19:35 Hall Green Killishin Mighty 13.50 (3.25) NoBet
19:45 Wimbledon Joeys Fortune 46.00 (13.00) NoBet
19:50 Hall Green Sofreyjess 46.00 (5.00) NoBet
20:50 Hall Green Meadovale Ash 11.00 (4.00) W £2.71 £2.58
21:00 Wimbledon Pine Boy 5.40 (4.50) W £6.19 £5.88
21:15 Wimbledon Last Pot Tok 5.50 (4.50) W £6.12 £5.81
21:50 Hall Green Drifting Home 15.00 (4.50) NoBet

Lay-zy Dogs Profit / Loss Today: +£3.87
Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 86.7%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £556.39 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £760.90 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £662.64 (5% stakes)

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Day 24 - Lay-zy Dogs 23/04/2011

All the hard work of recent days undone today with a poor 66.7% strike rate, 5 losing races and a £93 loss.   Of course the other staking strategies did far worse losing around the £200 mark each.   The one saving grace is that level stakes had made such good progress that it is still in profit despite today’s desparate performance.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:00 Romford Target Mikey 34.00 (9.00) NoBet
11:58 Romford Girlsbestfriend 9.80 (6.00) W £3.16 £3.00
13:19 Romford Lippy Girl 15.00 (9.00) NoBet
13:49 Romford Niellies ticket 6.40 (4.50) L £5.18 -£27.97
14:24 Newcastle Swift Kiko 55.00 (7.00) NoBet
14:42 Newcastle Vicarage Zoie 15.00 (7.00) NoBet
15:37 Newcastle Whillens Image 11.50 (5.50) NoBet
15:53 Newcastle Dusky Lad 24.00 (11.00) NoBet
17:58 Newcastle Catylers Dream 24.00 (11.00) NoBet
18:16 Newcastle Sax Two No 32.00 (11.00) NoBet
19:22 Sittingbourne Gathering Dust 14.00 (7.00) NoBet
19:30 Hove Unlikely Jack 9.60 (6.00) W £3.09 £2.94
19:45 Romford Hulksters Blue 16.50 (7.00) NoBet
19:45 Wimbledon Burn Brae 13.50 (6.00) NoBet
19:50 Hall Green Witch Way Henry 18.50 (5.00) NoBet
19:52 Sittingbourne Steer Me Home 6.00 (4.00) L £5.34 -£26.72
20:17 Romford Alrita Harley 6.00 (6.00) W £5.08 £4.82
20:20 Hall Green Best Actor 44.00 (5.50) NoBet
20:22 Sittingbourne Light Year 8.80 (5.00) W £3.29 £3.12
20:28 Monmore Recession Cuts 8.60 (6.00) W £3.39 £3.22
20:32 Romford Millwards Veto 8.80 (6.00) W £3.33 £3.16
20:35 Hall Green Ryeman Roxy 4.50 (2.75) W £7.46 £7.08
20:36 Hove Call It Scooby 11.00 (6.00) L £2.65 -£26.45
20:43 Monmore Junction Two 36.00 (13.00) NoBet
20:48 Romford Black Eyed Jack 14.00 (7.00) NoBet
20:50 Hall Green Curra Prince 5.00 (4.00) L £6.28 -£25.13
21:05 Hall Green Compass Polly 28.00 (6.00) NoBet
21:15 Wimbledon Barnabus 5.90 (4.50) L £4.87 -£23.87
21:25 Hove Hells Belle 9.60 (6.00) W £2.64 £2.51
21:30 Wimbledon Robbos Rose 9.80 (8.00) W £2.59 £2.46
21:41 Hove Raithby Flyer 5.40 (4.50) W £5.21 £4.95
21:45 Wimbledon Sithbe 25.00 (13.00) NoBet
22:35 Hall Green Ballinulty Zone 18.00 NoBet

Lay-zy Dogs Profit / Loss Today: -£92.88
Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 85.9%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £463.51 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £562.90 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £451.60 (5% stakes)

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Day 25 - Lay-zy Dogs 24/04/2011

A small qualifiying selection today and with a 100% strike rate a small but tidy profit of £19. Of course with a clean sweep of winning bets, the other staking plans fared very well with profits of £57 (level stakes) and £54 (percentage stakes). Ironically the recommended staking plan is the only one still in a loss situation.

It is worth noting that Dundrum Maureen in the 15:27 at Kinsley won her race but the Betfair odds fell outside of the maximum selection criteria, quite considerably so at that. However, if we compare the Industry Odds that Dundrum Maureen attracted, namely 5/1, with other selections at 5/1 today, this was the only selection that didn’t achieve the Betfair odds for qualification.   This is another example of the uncertainty of this system… what were the factors that meant Dundrum Maureen didn’t qualify by such a large margin compared to the others?   It is the opinion of this reviewer that it wasn’t the system that filtered this losing bet out. There are other considerations at here work that potentially can’t be catered for in a greyhound system of this nature. What’s your view?

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
12:04 Perry Barr Colourful Past 5.40 (4.50) W £5.27 £5.00
12:18 Perry Barr Drive On Delight 21.00 (9.00) NoBet
13:04 Perry Barr Breakaway Charly 14.00 (8.00) NoBet
13:19 Perry Barr Mangaliso 9.00 (6.00) W £2.93 £2.78
13:33 Perry Barr Inagh Brett 7.80 (5.50) W £3.47 £3.29
13:51 Perry Barr Jaydees Champ 11.50 (7.00) NoBet
14:44 Kinsley Urker Eliesse 9.80 (6.00) W £2.70 £2.56
15:13 Kinsley Sahara Ghost 17.00 (8.00) W £1.49 £0.00
15:27 Kinsley Dundrum Maureen 22.00 (6.00) NoBet
16:28 Kinsley Royal Trooper 8.00 (4.50) W £3.41 £3.24
17:33 Kinsley Coolween Lucky 10.00 (6.00) W £2.67 £2.54
17:49 Kinsley Pee Tee 12.00 (4.50) NoBet

Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 86.1%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £482.93 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £619.90 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £505.47 (5% stakes)

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Day 26 - Lay-zy Dogs 25/04/2011

A successful day today with a £26 profit despite a couple of losing bets. Drumcrow Wren in the 13:04 at Hall Green threatened to spoil the party if the odds had been slightly lower, but I imagine it would not have been enough to wipe out all of the days profit.

The other two staking strategies lost out today with the two losers, particularly the odds of 11.00 in the 18:49 at Yarmouth.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:00 Hall Green Avonside Mazuelo 13.00 (6.00) NoBet
11:07 Monmore Galtee Petal 10.00 (5.00) W £2.68 £2.55
11:16 Hall Green Watch For Fun 17.00 (8.00) NoBet
11:31 Hall Green Westview Eve 2.90 (2.75) W £12.78 £12.14
11:37 Monmore Navan Queen 8.20 (7.00) W £3.46 £3.28
11:44 Hall Green Mays Little Rose 12.00 (5.00) NoBet
12:08 Monmore Will Rumble 7.40 (6.00) W £3.91 £3.72
12:17 Hall Green Kean Willie 4.40 (3.50) W £7.42 £7.05
12:24 Monmore Fair Bound 7.40 (4.50) W £4.00 £3.80
12:47 Hall Green Armless Kenny 14.00 (7.00) NoBet
12:57 Monmore Monkspath Murphy 12.50 (7.00) NoBet
13:04 Hall Green Drumcrow Wren 15.00 (7.00) NoBet
13:19 Hall Green Westmead Pal 12.00 (5.00) NoBet
13:44 Monmore Bannside Legend 18.00 (8.00) NoBet
14:18 Swindon Lady Biznis 14.50 (6.00) NoBet
14:37 Swindon Not Yet 18.00 (13.00) NoBet
14:57 Swindon Autumn Sunshine 7.40 (8.00) W £4.03 £3.82
15:38 Swindon Kilgrogan Sam 8.60 (5.00) W £3.42 £3.25
16:37 Swindon Grayfox Pearl 8.00 (4.50) W £3.73 £3.55
17:17 Swindon Mrs Wagner Hawk 11.50 (7.00) NoBet
17:33 Swindon Vancouver Lori 6.00 (4.00) W £5.26 £5.00
18:04 Swindon Shiloh Clara 5.40 (3.50) W £6.03 £5.73
18:49 Yarmouth Ballyman Evelyn 11.00 (4.50) L £2.68 -£26.84
19:01 Nottingham Blueshavemorefun 17.50 (7.00) NoBet
19:11 Romford Crafty Barcello 4.80 (7.00) W £6.71 £6.37
19:16 Nottingham Corleones Tessio 11.00 (4.00) W £2.58 £2.45
19:22 Yarmouth Simons Gal 17.50 (4.50) NoBet
19:37 Yarmouth Joyces Pride 17.50 (7.00 NoBet
19:48 Nottingham Romeo Emperor 19.00 (9.00) NoBet
20:24 Yarmouth Horseleap Honey 5.50 (4.00) W £5.76 £5.48
20:41 Yarmouth Spike Road Vieri 6.40 (4.50) L £4.85 -£26.21
20:52 Nottingham Munchkin Marina 13.00 (5.00) NoBet
20:57 Yarmouth Burcastle Pope 9.00 (5.00) W £3.11 £2.96
21:12 Yarmouth Fi Fi Clearview 3.80 (3.25) W £8.95 £8.50

Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 86.2%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £509.51 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £617.90 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £496.19 (5% stakes)

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Lay-zy Dogs Mid-point System Review

Lay-zy Dogs Mid-point System Review

A mid way review of the path that Lay-zy Dogs has taken can see that it has been somewhat of a roller coaster ride. A promising start was interrupted as all of the initial profit was lost. But a sustained winning run saw Lay-zy dogs push towards £200 profit.   However, a few losing days followed, which not only saw the profit wiped out, but transformed it into a significant loss. Looking at the graph even Universal Studios couldn’t produce a more scary ride than we have had with Lay-zy Dogs. Since then the system has never really found its form again. We can only wait to see how the dogs perform in the days to come.

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Day 27 - Lay-zy Dogs 26/04/2011

Not a very successful day all round  We seem to have encountered our mandatory two losing bets again today, but the difference today is a smaller set of qualifying bets, which means a lower strike rate on the day.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:42 Perry Barr Express Wager 6.40 (4.50) W £4.72 £4.48
11:48 Nottingham Captain Baresi 9.00 (5.50) W £3.21 £3.05
12:12 Perry Barr Shreyas Celt 7.80 (6.00) W £3.80 £3.61
12:27 Perry Barr Shreyas Samurai 4.40 (4.50) W £7.66 £7.27
12:42 Perry Barr Droopys Polo 12.50 (7.00) NoBet
13:04 Nottingham Salacres Janey 15.50 (8.00) NoBet
13:12 Perry Barr Glory Times 8.00 (6.00) W £3.77 £3.58
13:19 Nottingham Hawk Hill 7.40 (5.00) L £4.15 -£26.58
13:27 Perry Barr Boher Tess 6.40 (4.00) W £4.68 £4.44
13:58 Perry Barr Brooklawn Kin 6.40 (5.00) L £4.72 -£25.47
14:18 Sunderland We Willy 16.50 (11.00) NoBet
14:37 Sunderland Shoeys Tune 12.00 (6.00) NoBet
15:17 Sunderland Baunfaun Smokey 9.00 (7.00) W £3.02 £2.87
16:37 Sunderland Mill Mercedes 13.50 (7.00) NoBet
16:57 Sunderland Katys Coal 14.50 (11.00) NoBet
18:18 Sunderland Bases Loaded 12.00 (7.00) NoBet
18:28 Newcastle Catunda Perry 6.00 (4.00) W £4.87 £4.62
19:06 Newcastle Dereks Fatboy 6.80 (5.50) W £4.24 £4.02
19:37 Newcastle Bellpac Banta 7.40 (4.50) W £3.87 £3.68

Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 86.1%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £499.11 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £594.90 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £469.12 (5% stakes)

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Day 28 - Lay-zy Dogs 27/04/2011

A larger selection of qualifying bets today helped the system to an £11 profit despite 3 losing bets (under recommended staking).   The other staking strategies suffered today, particularly because two of the three losing bets were at the upper end of the scale, therefore inflicting close to maximum damage.   Level stakes is still maintaining a healthy lead, however second place has now been taken by the recommended liability staking , which moves into the black for the first time in a long while.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:28 Newcastle Bit View Spike 15.50 (11.00) NoBet
11:34 Hall Green Warston Joan 5.30 (4.50) W £5.80 £5.51
11:42 Newcastle Baltree Spitfire 10.50 (6.00) W £2.66 £2.52
11:48 Hall Green Lady Alpha 2.96 (2.75) W £12.94 £12.29
11:57 Newcastle Pancake Girl 8.00 (5.00) W £3.71 £3.52
12:12 Newcastle Timmy Minty 9.60 (7.00) W £3.04 £2.89
12:27 Newcastle Target Countess 20.00 (9.00) NoBet
12:42 Newcastle Target Chip 10.50 (6.00) W £2.77 £2.63
12:47 Hall Green Best Actor 7.00 (5.00) W £4.40 £4.18
13:51 Hall Green Blue Gale 5.30 (4.50) W £6.19 £5.88
13:58 Newcastle Sax Two No 14.00 (13.00) NoBet
14:08 Hove Karma Rolly 9.00 (6.00) W £3.37 £3.20
14:37 Belle Vue Rough Pickins 14.50 (7.00) NoBet
14:47 Hove Toastofbrighton 11.00 (6.00) W £2.71 £2.57
15:17 Belle Vue Magna Flute 13.50 (7.00) NoBet
15:28 Hove Unlikely Billy 6.00 (5.00) W £5.44 £5.17
15:38 Belle Vue Grandads Ebony 18.50 (11.00) NoBet
15:58 Belle Vue Hi Legend 9.00 (6.00) L £3.43 -£27.47
16:08 Hove Shade Of Swallow 10.50 (8.00) W £2.75 £2.61
16:18 Belle Vue Blenheim Blue 28.00 (9.00) NoBet
17:07 Hove Wilfatwelldigger 4.10 (4.00) W £8.46 £8.04
17:17 Belle Vue Cornamaddy Boy 14.50 (9.00) NoBet
17:33 Belle Vue Wilcos Thunder 7.00 (5.50) W £4.44 £4.22
17:38 Hove Ballarina Belle 10.00 (6.00) W £2.98 £2.83
18:04 Belle Vue Baltylum Mac 6.40 (5.00) L £5.00 -£26.99
18:48 Swindon Fantastic Alfie 8.00 (5.50) L £3.66 -£25.64
19:11 Sunderland Waycross Zarkava 5.90 (5.00) W £4.97 £4.72
19:37 Swindon Messi Ted 6.00 (4.00) W £4.92 £4.67
20:19 Romford Dealinwithdanger 9.80 (6.00) W £2.82 £2.68
20:35 Romford Lord Blueboy 10.50 (6.00) W £2.63 £2.50
20:43 Sunderland Delphin Lily 8.00 (4.50) W £3.58 £3.40
20:58 Sunderland Up Jack 5.30 (4.50) W £5.87 £5.58

Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 86.2%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £510.65 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £590.40 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £457.52 (5% stakes)

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Day 29 - Lay-zy Dogs 28/04/2011

An excellent day today producing a 95% strike rate and welcome additions to the banks for all staking strategies.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:03 Sunderland Royal Beo 16.50 (13.00) NoBet
11:19 Sunderland Mick The Gambler 9.80 (7.00) W £2.90 £2.76
11:34 Sunderland Mayfield Angler 7.40 (6.00) W £4.01 £3.81
12:04 Sunderland Cooneen Roy 8.60 (7.00) W £3.40 £3.23
12:18 Sunderland Messan Joe 8.60 (6.00) W £3.42 £3.25
13:04 Sunderland Avid Duchess 6.80 (6.00) W £4.51 £4.29
14:08 Romford Eves Jewel 5.90 (4.50) W £5.39 £5.12
14:27 Romford Francies Fancy 7.00 (4.50) W £4.44 £4.22
14:47 Romford Out Ang Gone 5.80 (5.50) W £5.60 £5.32
16:47 Romford Sheepwalk Dee 9.00 (6.00) W £3.39 £3.22
17:56 Romford Lippy Girl 9.60 (6.00) W £3.17 £3.01
18:11 Romford Blanemore Boss 20.00 (9.00) NoBet
18:12 Sittingbourne Rectify 7.60 (4.50) W £4.16 £3.95
18:38 Newcastle Dereks Faith 17.00 (9.00) NoBet
18:56 Newcastle Berryhill Mal 7.40 (4.50) W £4.32 £4.10
19:25 Belle Vue Sourcey Cowboy 10.50 (7.00) W £2.93 £2.78
19:42 Newcastle Eternal Scholes 32.00 (13.00) NoBet
19:55 Belle Vue Forever Glory 10.50 (8.00) W £2.95 £2.80
20:02 Hove Hovex Lass 11.00 (6.00) W £2.81 £2.67
20:07 Sittingbourne Dunbolg Ochre 9.60 (7.00) W £3.29 £3.12
20:10 Belle Vue Arthur Mo 10.50 (3.50) W £2.99 £2.84
20:43 Newcastle Sensible Spice 9.80 (4.50) L £3.25 -£28.56
21:10 Belle Vue Grandads Sabre 9.60 (7.00) W £3.15 £3.00
21:22 Sittingbourne Boro Jack 11.00 (7.00) W £2.73 £2.59
21:40 Belle Vue Hush Money 21.00 (7.00) NoBet
22:10 Belle Vue Moorlough Mac 14.00 (11.00) NoBet

Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 86.6%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £548.18 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £682.90 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £552.22 (5% stakes)

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Day 30 - Lay-zy Dogs 29/04/2011

Initially a big congratulations has to go to Wimbledon for making the most of the Royal Wedding Day.  Naming the day’s races after the big event must have brough a smile to a lot of peoples’ faces.   One or two of my favourites included:

  • The Westminster Abbey Stakes
  • Kate The Merry Wife of Windsor Chase
  • The William of Windsor ‘No Longer Single’ Chase
  • Harry ‘The Best Man’ Stakes
  • Wave from The Balcony Chase

A record number of potential qualifiers today meant that we were either on for a brilliant day or a disastrous day.   As it was it turned out to be the former producing £24, £92 and £99 profits for the liability, level stakes and percentage staking strategies respectively.   Even with the mandatory two losses in the day, the large number of qualifiers meant that the day strike rate was 90%, which is what the system looks as though it needs for success.

It is noteworthy to mention that all staking strategies are now clearly in profit, ranked in the following order:

  1. Level Stakes – £275.40 profit
  2. Percentage Stakes – £151.15 profit
  3. Percentage Liability – £72.16 profit

It is also importantto mention that, whilst these profits look impressive, they are still extremely vulnerable when working with the long odds that we encounter in Lay-zy Dogs.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:00 Oxford Oi Oi Linda 24.00 (13.00) NoBet
11:31 Oxford Fox And Hound 9.00 (7.00) W £3.43 £3.25
11:44 Oxford Dash Of Blue 7.40 (7.00) W £4.31 £4.09
11:51 Hove Karma Hawk 7.00 (5.00) W £4.63 £4.40
12:17 Oxford Ballymac Said 6.00 (5.00) W £5.60 £5.32
13:27 Hove Teds Rebel 9.00 (6.00) W £3.53 £3.36
13:33 Oxford Oi Oi Gilly 20.00 (11.00) NoBet
13:58 Hove Greenacre Clare 19.00 (9.00) NoBet
14:08 Swindon Mrs Wagner Hawk 9.80 (6.00) W £3.23 £3.07
14:18 Monmore Monkspath Merica 8.20 (6.00) W £3.97 £3.77
14:27 Swindon Snowy Night 6.40 (5.50) L £5.33 -£28.77
14:37 Monmore Tyrur Harkins 4.40 (3.50) L £8.04 -£27.33
14:57 Monmore Secaucus Phantom 14.00 (11.00) NoBet
15:07 Swindon Andala 15.50 (8.00) NoBet
15:17 Monmore Tippy Toe Tyson 10.00 (8.00) W £2.89 £2.74
15:48 Swindon Lady Biznis 10.00 (7.00) W £2.90 £2.76
16:27 Swindon Peggy First 4.00 (3.75) W £8.75 £8.31
16:37 Monmore Curra King 11.50 (4.50) NoBet
17:17 Monmore Tyrur Thursday 8.00 (4.00) W £3.81 £3.62
17:38 Swindon Kilmore Celtic 12.50 (7.00) NoBet
17:47 Monmore Dereks Blueboy 7.80 (6.00) W £3.95 £3.75
18:48 Nottingham Lode Legend 8.20 (7.00) W £3.75 £3.57
19:11 Sheffield Running Spark 15.00 (7.00) NoBet
19:30 Wimbledon Platinum Pilot 32.00 (7.00) NoBet
19:35 Hall Green Carribean Jewel 8.00 (4.50) W £3.89 £3.69
19:42 Sheffield Runaround Jimmy 6.40 (4.50) W £5.07 £4.82
19:45 Wimbledon Strike Me Blue 4.60 (4.50) W £7.67 £7.29
19:50 Hall Green Marys Little Rose 13.00 (5.50) NoBet
19:52 Nottingham Rock It Jupiter 6.80 (6.00) W £4.83 £4.59
20:15 Wimbledon Bit View Ace 40.00 (12.00) NoBet
20:30 Wimbledon Newtown The Bizz 100.00 (8.00) NoBet
20:45 Wimbledon Jethart Harpy 12.50 (8.00) NoBet
20:51 Nottingham Phillys Lass 7.80 (5.00) W £4.15 £3.94
20:52 Hall Green Quivers Vieri 11.50 (4.50) NoBet
21:15 Wimbledon Pennyswashington 25.00 (11.00) NoBet
21:40 Hall Green Armless Kenny Void
21:45 Wimbledon Sithbe 100.00 (11.00) NoBet
21:55 Hall Green Beatties Wonder 8.20 (6.00) W £3.95 £3.75
22:25 Hall Green Lowerback Daisy 12.00 (5.00) NoBet

Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 86.8%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £572.16 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £775.40 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £651.15 (5% stakes)

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Day 31 - Lay-zy Dogs 30/04/2011

Just robbed of a profit today by the last race of the day giving us a loss of just over £7.   Level stake fared slightly worse at a £15 loss, however staking to a percentage of the bank actually produced a modest profit of almost £11.

It could have been worse as Bennlass Bluesky in the 20:35 at Hall Green finished ahead of the pack. At bookie odds of 4/1 you might have been excused for thinking that this dog would have made the odds on Betfair.   But with odds of 12.0 just before the off, Bluesky just avoided qualification.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
10:46 Romford Quivers Music 6.00 (4.50) W £5.72 £5.44
11:44 Romford Rusheen Lee 8.20 (5.00) W £4.01 £3.81
13:04 Romford Ballybridge Bound 5.50 (5.00) W £6.46 £6.14
13:19 Romford Alrita Harley 14.00 (6.00) NoBet
13:33 Romford Lynton Greg 9.00 (5.00) L £3.67 -£29.38
14:24 Newcastle Alrightthereted 12.50 (7.00) NoBet
14:58 Newcastle Honour Tess 9.20 (6.00) L £3.40 -£27.91
15:37 Newcastle Chrissies Dream 23.00 (11.00) NoBet
15:53 Newcastle Bit View Spike 6.40 (5.00) W £4.91 £4.66
16:14 Newcastle Lil Ranger 11.00 (7.00) W £2.67 £2.54
16:28 Newcastle Easy As Life 9.80 (7.00) W £3.05 £2.90
17:07 Newcastle Sunoak Rhea 9.00 (5.00) W £3.38 £3.21
17:58 Newcastle Stay Close 16.00 (7.00) NoBet
19:11 Monmore Colleens Shaz 4.50 (4.50) W £7.77 £7.38
19:30 Hove Bawna Princess 9.60 (5.00) W £3.20 £3.04
19:42 Monmore Ballymac Rem 4.60 (4.00) W £7.69 £7.31
19:45 Romford Maglass Rose 10.00 (5.00) W £3.12 £2.96
19:45 Wimbledon Roquefort Merlot 10.00 (8.00) W £3.13 £2.98
19:50 Hall Green Rake St Rover 7.40 (4.50) W £4.43 £4.21
20:01 Romford Barnfield Joany 20.00 (6.00) NoBet
20:13 Monmore Monkspath Murphy 14.00 (11.00) NoBet
20:20 Hall Green Ryeman Roxy 11.00 (3.00) W £2.86 £2.71
20:32 Romford Siesta Smudge 7.00 (6.00) W £4.78 £4.55
20:35 Hall Green Benlass Bluesky 12.00 (5.00) NoBet
20:36 Hove Droopys Twister 8.00 (4.50) W £4.13 £3.93
20:37 Sittingbourne Edelweiss Lady 9.20 (7.00) W £3.55 £3.38
20:48 Romford Bar The One 9.80 (5.00) W £3.33 £3.16
20:53 Hove Tylers Princess 6.40 (4.50) W £5.46 £5.18
21:22 Sittingbourne Hedsor Jewel 15.00 (9.00) NoBet
21:30 Wimbledon Newtown Zambrota 44.00 (15.00) NoBet
21:45 Wimbledon Robbos Rose 21.00 (11.00) NoBet
22:15 Wimbledon King Lenny 4.40 (3.75) L £8.74 -£29.72

Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 86.8%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £564.64 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £759.90 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £628.44 (5% stakes)

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Day 32 - Lay-zy Dogs 01/05/2011

A small qualifying card and the mandatory two losers reults in a below par strike rate for today and net losses all round.

11:43 Hove Nightfall Queen 16.50 (9.00) NoBet
12:04 Perry Barr Naoise Idol 19.50 (11.00) NoBet
12:42 Hove Kens Kewell 21.00 (11.00) NoBet
13:04 Perry Barr Millroad Classic 15.50 (7.00) NoBet
13:12 Hove Grayslands Pippa 12.00 (7.00) NoBet
14:06 Perry Barr Spot My Boy 5.50 (4.50) W £6.37 £6.05
14:12 Hove Wilfatwelldigger 10.00 (7.00) W £3.22 £3.06
14:58 Kinsley Rathvilly Black 7.80 (5.00) W £4.28 £4.07
15:22 Oxford Toms Super Ted 10.50 (7.00) W £3.09 £2.93
16:08 Oxford Barrack Joe 11.50 NoBet
16:14 Kinsley Lou Mar Flyer 10.50 (6.00) W £3.10 £2.95
16:28 Kinsley Hold On Betty 10.00 (8.00) L £3.29 -£29.63
16:37 Oxford Woodbrook Fancy 17.00 (9.00) NoBet
16:46 Kinsley Corries Liz 12.00 (8.00) NoBet
16:54 Oxford Citizen Misty 7.80 (4.50) W £4.14 £3.93
17:04 Kinsley Sahara Ghost 8.00 (5.50) W £4.05 £3.85
17:11 Oxford Big Time Turbo 12.00 (6.00) NoBet
17:18 Kinsley Feystown Ollie 7.80 (5.00) W £4.20 £3.99
17:27 Oxford Kingsbrook Clara 8.80 (7.00) L £3.68 -£28.73
17:33 Kinsley Shelbourne Penny 11.00 (7.00) W £2.73 £2.59

Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 86.7%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £548.55 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £696.40 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £551.68 (5% stakes)

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Day 33 - Lay-zy Dogs 02/05/2011

Well, on the face of things this was a very successful day: a 94% strike rate, £57 profit (recommended stakes), £101 profit (level stakes) and £115 profit (perecntage stakes).   All of this with a losing bet thrown in to boot.   In fact it could be classed as excellent.

However, what the figures do not reveal are the two first places in the 11:07 at Monmore and the19:16 at Nottingham.   One of these was within one half point of qualifying under the maximum odds critera, whilst the other was within one point. Again with the unpredicatbility of the odds for these races, it would not be beyond the realms of possibility to have seen these two races qualify.   In this scenario, the best outcome would have been to see the day’s proft for the recommended staking strategy wiped out.   The worst outcome would have seen a 25% reduction in the betting bank compared to the end of this day.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:07 Monmore Iceman Bullet 12.00 (9.00) NoBet
11:16 Swindon Thurlesbeg Bliss 12.50 (8.00) NoBet
11:23 Monmore Rock It Reesy 8.00 (6.00) W £3.92 £3.72
11:37 Monmore Will Rumble 12.00 (7.00) W £2.51 £0.00
11:44 Swindon Leamy Torres 5.00 (4.50) W £6.90 £6.56
12:08 Monmore Ardera Lulu 3.40 (3.00) W £11.64 £11.06
12:24 Monmore Navan Queen 11.50 (8.00) NoBet
12:33 Swindon Ballidrum Max 13.50 (8.00) NoBet
12:57 Monmore Fargo Ruby 11.00 (8.00) W £2.85 £2.71
13:11 Monmore Droopys Athena 5.80 (3.25) W £5.96 £5.67
13:19 Swindon Tisfreetodream 8.20 (7.00) W £4.02 £3.81
13:44 Monmore Scruffy 5.50 (4.50) W £6.47 £6.14
14:18 Hall Green Meadowvale Ash 15.50 (9.00) NoBet
14:57 Hall Green Cuddles Again 10.00 (7.00) W £3.27 £3.10
15:17 Hall Green Bam Bam Bionic 6.00 (4.50) W £5.91 £5.62
16:18 Hall Green Best Actor 5.00 (4.00) W £7.46 £7.09
18:18 Hall Green Drifting Home 5.00 (3.75) W £7.55 £7.17
18:28 Nottingham Sun Bound 6.00 (5.00) W £6.11 £5.81
18:33 Yarmouth Castlelyons Greg 9.20 (4.50) W £3.76 £3.57
18:39 Romford Satellite Secret 6.40 (6.00) W £5.75 £5.46
18:44 Nottingham Blueshavemorefun 9.00 (5.50) W £3.91 £3.72
18:49 Yarmouth Addermount Lad 7.00 (4.00) L £5.25 -£31.49
18:56 Romford Ronnies Hawk 12.50 (6.00) NoBet
19:11 Romford Drumena Ruby 20.00 (7.00) NoBet
19:16 Nottingham Aghaburren Dotie 11.50 (9.00) NoBet
19:53 Yarmouth Marching Barry 9.00 (7.00) W £3.74 £3.55
20:57 Yarmouth Burcastle Pope 8.80 (7.00) W £3.86 £3.66

Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 87.0%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £605.49 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £797.90 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £666.45 (5% stakes)

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Day 34 - Lay-zy Dogs 03/05/2011

There’s only two words that describes this day…. pig’s ear!   With an abysmal strike rate of 68% all of the hard earned profit for the recommended staking strategy has been wiped out.   From £105 profit the system has nosedived to nearly £22 in the red.   The only saving grace is that, thanks to some shorter priced qualifiers, the other two staking strategies didn’t suffer quite so bad.   Note, I said short…ER prices, not short.

Therefore despite carnage strewn all across the track level stakes is still over £230 in profit and percentage stakes is just over £90 in the black.   But I really do think we have the good luck fairies to thank for that.   On the evidence of MOST other days’ odds, today could have seen these banks halved quite easily.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:42 Perry Barr Wholelottarosie 8.80 (6.50) W £3.91 £3.72
11:57 Perry Barr Cragg Merc 5.50 (5.00) W £6.82 £6.48
12:04 Nottingham Bodell Emma 30.00 (8.00) NoBet
12:27 Perry Barr Ascot Marty 3.45 (3.25) L £12.66 -£31.02
12:47 Nottingham Salacres Rogue 4.00 (4.00) L £9.82 -£29.47
13:04 Nottingham Cleanasmoney 5.00 (4.00) W £7.00 £6.65
13:19 Nottingham Windgap Lady 7.40 (8.00) W £4.43 £4.21
13:27 Perry Barr Boher Tess 4.30 (3.75) W £8.65 £8.22
13:44 Perry Barr Jolly Customer 10.50 (6.00) W £3.05 £2.90
13:58 Perry Barr Droopys Stosur 10.50 (7.00) W £3.06 £2.91
14:18 Sunderland Rapid Return 8.00 (6.00) W £4.18 £3.97
14:37 Sunderland Cleatons Three 16.00 (11.00) NoBet
15:17 Sunderland Waycross Firefly 15.00 (9.00) NoBet
15:38 Sunderland Katys Coal 15.00 (11.00) NoBet
15:58 Sunderland Rackethall Daisy 15.50 (9.00) NoBet
16:08 Crayford Rabras Black 4.00 (3.25) L £9.81 -£29.44
16:27 Crayford State Of Chassis 4.10 (4.00) L £9.02 -£27.97
16:37 Sunderland Feystown Ferrari 16.00 (11.00) NoBet
16:57 Sunderland Halcrow Swoop 8.60 (7.00) W £3.50 £3.32
17:07 Crayford Ingleby Princess 3.50 (3.50) L £10.69 -£26.74
17:33 Sunderland Autumn Iceland 4.50 (4.50) L £7.26 -£25.40
17:56 Crayford Ardera Fitch 7.00 (5.50) W £4.02 £3.82
18:04 Sunderland Nervous Lee 16.50 (11.00) NoBet
18:18 Sunderland Witton Bound 5.90 (4.00) W £4.96 £4.72
18:28 Newcastle Eternal Scholes 11.00 (6.00) W £2.46 £2.33
18:48 Newcastle Target Cleo NoBet Withdrawn
19:06 Newcastle Blue Lana 5.30 (4.50) L £5.74 -£24.67
19:22 Newcastle Target Countess 7.80 (5.00) W £3.45 £3.27
19:26 Sheffield Head Iton Ray 14.50 (7.00) NoBet
20:07 Hall Green Watch For Fun 14.00 (5.00) NoBet
20:39 Hall Green Clounanna Maura 9.20 (5.50) W £2.88 £2.73
20:55 Hall Green An Duaiseoir 7.40 (6.00) W £3.71 £3.52

Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 86.2%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £478.33 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £731.40 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £590.86 (5% stakes)

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Day 35 - Lay-zy Dogs 04/05/2011

A modestly losing day across the board with an 85% strike rate on the day and an 87p loss.   The other strategies didn’t suffer a great deal more with £17 and £20 losses respectively.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:11 Newcastle Fulwood Lass 6.40 (3.50) W £4.43 £4.21
11:48 Hall Green Greycott Gromit 14.50 (5.00) NoBet
12:18 Hall Green Driving Up Will 14.50 (11.00) NoBet
12:42 Newcastle Easy As Life 6.80 (5.00) W £4.16 £3.95
12:47 Hall Green Lowerback Daisy NoBet
13:04 Hall Green Aghagay 9.60 (7.00) W £2.83 £2.69
13:12 Newcastle Branton Olive 7.40 (5.00) W £3.82 £3.63
13:19 Hall Green Badgey Bessie 16.00 (8.00) NoBet
13:27 Newcastle Target Mist 7.40 (4.00) L £3.85 -£24.64
14:18 Belle Vue Arthur Mo 9.00 (4.50) L £2.93 -£23.41
15:07 Hove Hells Belle 11.50 (6.00) NoBet
15:28 Hove Mad Loz 6.00 (4.50) W £4.45 £4.23
15:38 Belle Vue Southwind Piper 3.90 (4.00) W £7.74 £7.35
16:08 Hove Mandela House 11.50 (8.00) NoBet
16:27 Hove Lady Hurricane 10.50 (7.00) W £2.40 £2.28
16:47 Hove Ballyneale Ted 9.00 (6.00) W £2.87 £2.72
17:07 Hove Miss Demon 6.00 (5.00) W £4.61 £4.38
17:22 Hove Shade Of Swallow 8.60 (6.00) W £3.06 £2.91
17:38 Hove Kilara Eve 38.00 (13.00) NoBet
17:56 Hove Dottys Nod 8.00 (5.50) W £3.35 £3.18
18:18 Belle Vue Moorlough Mac 9.00 (6.00) W £2.95 £2.80
18:38 Sunderland Clear Path 10.00 (6.00) W £2.64 £2.50
18:56 Sunderland Creamy Dreams 16.50 (7.00) NoBet
19:11 Sunderland Take It Back 5.40 (4.00) W £5.42 £5.15
19:26 Sunderland Flying Maestro 21.00 (15.00) NoBet
19:30 Romford Rusheen Ben 5.80 (6.00) W £5.02 £4.77
19:42 Sunderland Distant Ava 17.00 (9.00) NoBet
19:52 Swindon Mrs Wagner Hawk 11.50 (6.00) NoBet
19:58 Sunderland Aero Zilli 17.00 (11.00) NoBet
20:07 Swindon Fearmead Ducati 17.00 (11.00) NoBet
20:13 Sunderland Cee Jay Bee 3.75 (3.00) W £8.86 £8.41
20:19 Romford Hightop Rebel 4.30 (4.00) W £7.51 £7.13
20:22 Swindon Lady Biznis 21.00 (8.00) NoBet
20:35 Romford Bar The One 4.50 (4.00) L £7.18 -£25.13
20:43 Sunderland In The Circle 15.50 (9.00) NoBet
21:07 Swindon Bossy Bird 17.50 (5.00) NoBet

Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 86.2%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £477.46 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £713.90 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £570.25 (5% stakes)

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Day 36 - Lay-zy Dogs 05/05/2011

A reasonably successful day today achieving a strike rate of 88.8% and a profit of £17.

It is worth highlighting how two of the three losing bets were quite low odds compared with other days.   This benefitted the other two staking strategies considerably with level stakes returning £89 and percentage staking returning £86.   This illustrates how the odds has an impact on this system and the selection of an appropriate staking strategy.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:11 Sheffield Stunning Cantona 30.00 (7.00) NoBet
11:34 Sunderland Hammys Bossman 7.40 (6.00) W £3.73 £3.54
11:42 Sheffield Stunning Tyson NoBet
11:57 Sheffield Townbrow Moth 10.00 (5.50) W £2.67 £2.54
12:12 Sheffield Portobello Lady 26.00 (7.00) NoBet
12:18 Sunderland Mill Angelino 4.00 (3.25) W £8.06 £7.66
12:27 Sheffield Brave Sam 25.00 (10.00) NoBet
12:42 Sheffield Lady Distant 24.00 (11.00) NoBet
12:47 Sunderland Buckle Arrester 5.80 (4.00) W £5.12 £4.86
13:12 Sheffield Royal Day 25.00 (9.00) NoBet
13:33 Sunderland Bases Loaded 15.00 (13.00) NoBet
14:27 Romford Rockbrook Bolt 6.40 (6.00) W £4.59 £4.36
14:37 Crayford Axminster 4.80 (3.50) W £6.58 £6.26
15:17 Crayford Kellystown Andy 5.00 (4.50) W £6.33 £6.02
16:18 Crayford Murlens Paddy 7.40 (5.50) W £4.01 £3.81
16:47 Romford Plough On Oli 13.00 (8.00) NoBet
16:57 Crayford Santers Nightout 5.00 (5.00) W £6.46 £6.13
17:17 Crayford Reenview Lotti 10.50 (7.00) W £2.75 £2.61
17:22 Romford Jadies Dancer 4.30 (4.00) L £7.96 -£26.26
17:56 Romford Out Ang Gone 9.60 (6.00) W £2.90 £2.76
18:00 Sittingbourne March Mikeymarch 6.60 (4.00) W £4.48 £4.26
18:11 Romford Char Dan 13.50 (8.00) NoBet
18:18 Crayford Silveriverfeale 18.00 (11.00) NoBet
18:38 Newcastle Target Chip 6.00 (4.50) W £5.06 £4.81
19:06 Sittingbourne Mileheight Liamo 32.00 (13.00) NoBet
19:22 Sittingbourne Dunbold Dame 14.50 (8.00) NoBet
19:40 Belle Vue Aimee Da Wag 24.00 (8.00) NoBet
19:55 Belle Vue Aucghakine Image 18.00 (7.00) NoBet
20:07 Sittingbourne Ravestock Snowy 7.00 (6.00) W £4.26 £4.04
20:13 Newcastle Bay City Magic 13.50 (9.00) NoBet
20:25 Belle Vue Trejon Lewis 22.00 (6.00) NoBet
20:40 Belle Vue Fabulous Secret 14.00 (7.00) NoBet
21:07 Sittingbourne Dunbolg Ochre 9.00 (7.00) W £3.22 £3.06
21:10 Belle Vue Kinloch Penny 27.00 (4.50) NoBet
21:22 Sittingbourne Swoop To Conker 4.00 (4.00) L £8.63 -£25.90
21:55 Belle Vue Telmarcs Black 34.00 (5.50) NoBet
22:25 Belle Vue Daltylum Droopy 9.00 (5.00) W £3.08 £2.92

Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 86.3%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £494.93 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £802.90 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £656.75 (5% stakes)

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Day 37 - Lay-zy Dogs 06/05/2011

A very poor day all round being hit by every variable possible.   The abysmal strike rate of 60% and loss of £74 was not helped by 4 losing bets on a day with a low potential qualifying card of dogs.   Compound this with the fact that almost half of the potential qualifiers were ruled out by some extremely long odds, meant that there was only one real outcome.

Needless to say the level staking strategy suffered the most with a £118 loss followed closely behind by the percentage staking strategy with a loss of £112.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:19 Oxford Broadacres Kev 10.00 (11.00) NoBet
11:28 Hove Dream Win 3.45 (3.50) L £10.10 -£24.75
11:42 Hove Centaur Lou Lou 15.00 (7.00) NoBet
12:04 Oxford Pennys Simpson 15.00 (6.00) NoBet
13:12 Hove Greenacre Clare 14.50 (9.00) NoBet
13:33 Oxford Dilton Ellie 13.00 (9.00) NoBet
13:44 Hove Ballytag Schumi 13.00 (8.00) NoBet
14:08 Swindon Killahara Brave 6.00 (5.00) W £4.70 £4.47
14:18 Monmore Ballymac Cat 11.00 (7.00) W £2.37 £2.25
14:27 Swindon Bunclody Dom 14.00 (7.00) NoBet
14:57 Monmore Texas Revenge 9.00 (6.00) W £2.98 £2.83
15:38 Monmore Monkspath Murphy 9.00 (8.00) L £3.00 -£23.99
17:07 Swindon Lady Hepburn 3.80 (3.25) L £8.14 -£22.79
18:04 Monmore Wotastitch Up 22.00 (9.00) NoBet
18:18 Monmore Colleens Shaz 7.40 (6.00) W £3.38 £3.21
18:48 Nottingham Woop Woop Smokey 6.40 (5.00) W £4.04 £3.84
19:30 Wimbledon Platinum Pilot 27.00 (7.00) NoBet
20:00 Wimbledon Jethart Harpy 7.80 (6.00) W £3.24 £3.07
20:07 Nottingham Normandy Black 5.30 (4.50) L £5.15 -£22.15
21:07 Nottingham Phillys Lass 18.50 (7.00) NoBet
20:15 Wimbledon Joeys Fortune 11.50 (11.00) NoBet
21:15 Wimbledon Pennys Isabella 19.00 (11.00) NoBet

Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 85.8%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £420.93 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £684.40 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £544.00 (5% stakes)

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Day 38 - Lay-zy Dogs 07/05/2011

This was another one of those strange days.   It is a Saturday, with virtually as many meetings as there are dog tracks in the country.   Yet we had one of the smallest selection of potential qualifying dogs.   Not only that but the number of dogs that exceeded the maximum odds was disproportionately high, hence precluding them from the list of qualifiers, and even those had some of the longest odds that I have seen during the period of this review.

So all in all, it wasn’t really that surprising for an insufficient 84.6% strike rate (with our two mandatory losing bets) to return a £13 loss on the day.   The two losing bets were at the maximum end of the odds range, which in turn hit the two otehr strategies exceedingly hard.   Level stakes returned a £73 loss, whilst percentage staking didn’t do much better with a £64 loss.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
10:31 Romford Sudake Polly 15.50 (5.00) NoBet
10:38 Crayford Pennys Chives 11.00 (7.00) W £2.10 £2.00
10:53 Crayford Altamount Bert 11.50 (6.00) NoBet
11:31 Romford Premarket Babe 9.20 (4.50) W £2.58 £2.45
13:04 Romford Sherbet Lemon 22.00 (7.00) NoBet
13:49 Romford Deanridge Mesiah 16.00 (8.00) NoBet
14:42 Newcastle On Me Head 15.50 (9.00) NoBet
15:18 Newcastle Escape Star 15.50 (9.00) NoBet
15:53 Newcastle Minty Bullet 15.50 (9.00) NoBet
16:28 Newcastle Pancake Girl 8.20 (6.00) W £2.95 £2.81
17:07 Newcastle Shananigan Girl 9.00 (5.00) W £2.68 £2.54
17:58 Newcastle Swift Kiko 11.00 (6.00) W £2.15 £2.05
18:16 Newcastle Lady Rebecca 8.60 (7.00) W £2.85 £2.70
18:56 Monmore Steel Rocket 11.50 (7.00) NoBet
19:22 Sittingbourne Slaneyside Amira 10.00 (11.00) W £2.42 £2.30
19:52 Sittingbourne Droopys Lycra 24.00 (7.00) NoBet
19:58 Monmore Monkspath Merica 17.50 (9.00) NoBet
20:07 Sittingbourne Highwood Ash 18.00 (7.00) NoBet
20:17 Romford Brackens Bounty 60.00 (6.00) NoBet
20:19 Hove Ballarina Belle 8.80 (5.00) L £2.81 -£21.89
20:28 Monmore Are We Dancers 11.00 (7.00) L £2.08 -£20.79
20:36 Hove Swift Chariot 4.60 (4.50) W £5.49 £5.21
20:48 Romford Droopys Linford 7.00 (3.50) W £3.34 £3.17
22:13 Hove Scarlet Poppy 9.80 (6.00) W £2.29 £2.18
22:15 Wimbledon Platinum Danni 9.00 (6.00) W £2.54 £2.41

Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 85.8%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £408.07 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £610.90 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £479.94 (5% stakes)

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Lay-zy Dogs System Review

Lay-zy Dogs Performance Entering The Home Straight

As we start to enter the final straight for the Lay-zy Dogs review, I though it would be useful to reflect on how the system is performing since the half way stage.   As you can see from the graph the Lay-zy Dogs ride has not got any smoother, and in fact the system (as recorded to the recommended staking plan) has hit an all time low.   This is a particular shame as a few days ago the system had hit its second highest peak to-date.

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Day 39 - Lay-zy Dogs 08/05/2011

A bit of a non-descript day today compared with the action of most other days. A solitary loss managed a strike rate of 90.9% just about scraping a profit of £3. For the other staking strategies the loss somewhat hurt as it was the maximum allowed for a qualifying bet, 11.0.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:34 Perry Barr Oran Galaxy 5.00 (4.50) W £5.10 £4.85
12:18 Perry Barr Namedandshamed 19.50 (11.00) NoBet
12:32 Perry Barr Ascot Marty 8.60 (6.00) W £2.72 £2.58
13:04 Perry Barr Burnpark Pearl 10.00 (7.00) W £2.31 £2.19
13:19 Perry Barr Bold Investment 11.00 (7.00) W £2.09 £1.98
13:44 Hove Shade Of Swallow 14.00 (8.00) NoBet
14:12 Hove Hoffmans Duke 11.00 (8.00) L £2.10 -£20.98
14:38 Oxford Verity Son 7.00 (4.00) W £3.32 £3.16
15:22 Oxford Notapatchonme 10.00 (7.00) W £2.23 £2.12
15:37 Oxford Pennys Zac 10.00 (9.00) W £2.24 £2.13
15:59 Kinsley Officer Zigzag 11.50 (6.00) W £1.93 £0.00
16:08 Oxford Pennys Merryfox 13.00 (7.00) NoBet
16:22 Oxford Citizen Misty 7.00 (5.00) W £3.38 £3.21
16:28 Kinsley Sahara Ghost 15.50 (7.00) NoBet
16:37 Oxford Flying Guard 10.00 (9.00) W £2.27 £2.16
16:54 Oxford Grayfox Ebony 18.00 (12.00) NoBet
17:04 Kinsley Eighteenandover 19.00 (9.00) NoBet
17:27 Oxford All Black Gus 15.00 (12.00) NoBet

Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 85.9%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £411.47 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £596.40 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £465.82 (5% stakes)

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Day 40 - Lay-zy Dogs 09/05/2011

A good day all round with a strike rate of 92% and a profit of just over £36.   Flat stakes and percentage staking showed equally good profits with £44 and £37 respectively.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:28 Sheffield Hurry On Blue 10.00 (5.00) W £2.29 £2.17
11:42 Sheffield Bodell Cheryl 17.00 (8.00) NoBet
11:48 Hall Green Crash Kid NoBet
12:04 Hall Green Killshin Mighty 6.40 (5.00) W £3.83 £3.64
12:12 Sheffield The Hark 28.00 (8.00) NoBet
12:18 Hall Green Nickies Delight 15.50 (7.00) NoBet
12:32 Hall Green Benlass Bluesky 38.00 (13.00) NoBet
12:42 Sheffield Kildare Smiler 8.00 (4.50) L £2.98 -£20.86
13:19 Hall Green Pookies Larry 6.00 (5.50) W £3.96 £3.77
13:33 Hall Green Aero Miles 4.00 (3.50) W £6.67 £6.34
13:51 Hall Green Lagganmore Mally 7.00 (5.00) W £3.39 £3.22
13:58 Sheffield Swift Lulu 13.00 (6.00) NoBet
14:18 Swindon Suirview Prince 3.90 (3.50) W £7.06 £6.71
14:37 Swindon Petrol 3.95 (3.75) W £7.06 £6.71
14:47 Monmore Secaucus Phantom 13.00 (8.00) NoBet
14:57 Swindon Scala Cosey 3.80 (3.50) W £7.56 £7.18
15:17 Swindon Teds Double 15.50 (7.00) NoBet
15:28 Monmore Uncle Des 4.50 (4.00) W £6.15 £5.84
16:18 Swindon Vinnies Dasher 12.50 (9.00) NoBet
16:27 Monmore Sniper Co Co 22.00 (11.00) NoBet
16:37 Swindon Ballywater Zap 6.40 (6.00) W £4.04 £3.84
16:57 Swindon Dun An Doras 25.00 (13.00) NoBet
17:17 Swindon Breagain Dancer 7.80 (7.00) W £3.24 £3.07
17:33 Swindon Sam Bernadine 22.00 (5.00) NoBet
17:56 Monmore Junction Two 21.00 (9.00) NoBet
18:11 Monmore Mitcheltown Blue 14.50 (9.00) NoBet
18:28 Nottingham Fabbulous Tally 18.00 (8.00) NoBet
19:11 Romford Rusheen Lee 18.00 (6.50) NoBet
20:07 Nottingham Sun Bound 5.50 (5.00) W £4.92 £4.68

Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 86.0%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £447.76 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £640.40 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £502.91 (5% stakes)

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Day 41 - Lay-zy Dogs 10/05/2011

Well, we cannot claim to be surprised by the downs days that swiftly follow an up day. It looks to be the nature of the system.   The only trouble is the downs are deeper than the height of the highs, which means we continue to be on a slippery slope.

An 80% strike rate today is by no means good enough, logging in with a £24 loss keeping the betting bankvery close to its lowest level.

What seemed to be the saving grace of the system, the level stake and percentage staking strategies, finally proved fallable with all but £14 of the level stakes profit wiped out, and percentage stakes dropping below even that of the recommended strategy.

11:34 Nottingham Hawk Hill 7.00 (6.00) W £3.73 £3.54
12:12 Perry Barr Autumn Twister 11.00 (6.00) L £2.26 -£22.57
12:18 Nottingham Go Wild Terry 11.00 (7.00) W £2.14 £2.04
12:32 Nottingham Clover Walk 3.50 (3.25) W £8.62 £8.18
12:42 Perry Barr Shreyas Celt 6.40 (5.50) W £4.06 £3.86
12:47 Nottingham Lukes Mistake 15.50 (9.00) NoBet
12:58 Perry Barr Borna Chariot 15.00 (9.00) NoBet
13:04 Nottingham Toad 25.00 (13.00) NoBet
13:12 Perry Barr Oakhill Rebel 10.50 (7.00) W £2.33 £2.21
13:19 Nottingham Fabulous Magic 7.40 (5.50) W £3.48 £3.30
13:44 Perry Barr Rud Cinnte 11.50 (7.00) NoBet
13:58 Perry Barr Highfire Ozzy 6.80 (4.50) W £3.86 £3.67
14:18 Sunderland Creamy Dreams 8.00 (6.00) W £3.23 £3.07
14:57 Sunderland Hammys Ray 8.20 (7.00) W £3.16 £3.00
15:17 Sunderland North Stroma 24.00 (15.00) NoBet
15:38 Sunderland Drumena Roller 24.00 (15.00) NoBet
16:37 Sunderland Danebank Evie 26.00 (11.00) NoBet
16:57 Sunderland Fun Boy Franky 5.60 (5.00) L £4.98 -£22.90
17:33 Sunderland Bases Loaded 12.00 (9.00) NoBet
17:47 Sunderland Bobby No Jeans 6.80 (6.00) W £3.75 £3.56
18:04 Sunderland Unknown State 13.50 (9.00) NoBet
18:28 Newcastle Cregg Rock 17.00 (9.00) NoBet
18:38 Sheffield Hows Jack 18.50 (7.00) NoBet
18:48 Newcastle Stay On Lass 11.00 (7.00) W £2.19 £2.08
18:56 Sheffield Halcrow Classic 18.00 (4.50) NoBet
19:50 Hall Green An Duaiseoir 11.50 (5.00) NoBet
20:05 Hall Green Meadowvale Ash 10.50 (8.00) L £2.32 -£22.04
20:35 Hall Green Compass Polly 4.80 (4.00) W £5.51 £5.23
20:58 Sheffield Fintans Harrison 12.50 (8.00) NoBet

Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 85.9%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £424.02 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £513.40 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £387.12 (5% stakes)

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Day 42 - Lay-zy Dogs 11/05/2011

Picking up from yesterday’s low, we bounce back with a £23 profit and 93% strike rate.   I am knot sure about Lay-zy Dogs… I think Yo-Yo Dogs wodul be more appropriate.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:19 Hall Green Cuddles Again 8.80 (6.00) W £2.72 £2.58
12:04 Hall Green Ballybough Zumo 15.50 (9.00) NoBet
12:18 Hall Green Harveys Buster 7.40 (6.00) W £3.33 £3.17
12:32 Hall Green Afan Angeleyes 8.60 (6.00) W £2.83 £2.69
12:42 Newcastle Mustang Mcqueen 24.00 (9.00) NoBet
12:47 Hall Green Greycott Gromit 23.00 (8.00) NoBet
14:08 Hove Navanfort Dawn 8.00 (7.00) W £3.09 £2.93
14:27 Hove Teds Rebel 8.00 (6.00) W £3.11 £2.95
15:38 Belle Vue Grandads Ebony 34.00 (11.00) NoBet
15:58 Belle Vue Baltylum Top Gal 9.00 (5.00) W £2.74 £2.60
16:47 Hove Rising Cloda 21.00 (16.00) NoBet
16:57 Belle Vue Baltylum Droopy 6.40 (4.50) L £4.08 -£22.05
17:07 Hove Kilara Rumble 21.00 (9.00) NoBet
17:17 Belle Vue Kinlock Penny 14.50 (6.00) NoBet
17:38 Hove Son Of Hawk 21.00 (7.00) NoBet
17:56 Hove Dream The Dream 40.00 (8.00) NoBet
18:04 Belle Vue Tap The Red 8.60 (5.50) W £2.76 £2.62
18:48 Swindon Lisnakill Myles 9.80 (6.00) W £2.39 £2.28
19:26 Sunderland Delphin Dynamo 6.00 (5.00) W £4.24 £4.03
19:46 Romford Tommywillateem 10.50 (6.00) W £2.25 £2.14
19:58 Sunderland Clonnavaddy Clara 14.00 (7.00) NoBet
20:03 Romford Maureens Mystery 5.80 (5.00) W £4.48 £4.25
20:28 Sunderland Sparta Eagle 12.50 (7.00) NoBet
20:43 Sunderland Kindly James 5.50 (5.00) W £4.82 £4.58
20:51 Swindon Kileline Rambler 9.20 (6.00) W £2.68 £2.54
20:58 Sunderland Drumena Yeats 9.00 (7.00) W £2.76 £2.62
21:07 Swindon Clydal Stride 7.40 (5.00) W £3.47 £3.29
21:09 Romford Maggies Rocket 15.50 (4.50) NoBet
21:14 Sunderland Snoozys Gone 29.00 (11.00) NoBet

Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 86.1%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £447.25 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £601.90 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £462.36 (5% stakes)

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Day 43 - Lay-zy Dogs 12/05/2011

Another poor day for Lay-zy Dogs only scraping an 80% strike rate which resulted in a £35 loss.   Ther were three other dogs that weren’t quite as lazy as we would like, crossing the line ahead of the rest, but managed to avoid detection on the radar by being outside of the system odds range. Unsurprisingly the other strategies fared just as bad with losses of £49 and £46 respectively.

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:03 Sunderland Abbie Blue Boy 36.00 (17.00) NoBet
11:11 Sheffield Wiguagainduck Withdrawn £0.00
11:28 Sheffield Stunning Cantona 15.00 (5.00) NoBet
11:34 Sunderland Waycross Zarkava 8.80 (6.00) W £2.87 £2.72
11:42 Sheffield Marinas Garsun 15.50 (7.00) NoBet
11:57 Sheffield Millwards Jordy 20.00 (8.00) NoBet
12:12 Sheffield Brave Sam 21.00 (7.00) NoBet
12:18 Sunderland Distant Ava 4.50 (4.00) L £6.43 -£22.50
12:42 Sheffield Stepaside Fairy 14.00 (5.50) NoBet
13:27 Sheffield Sullane Star 10.00 (7.00) W £2.37 £2.26
13:44 Sheffield True Jack 10.00 (5.00) W £2.39 £2.27
13:51 Sunderland Small Banner 5.40 (5.00) W £4.91 £4.66
16:47 Romford Wearedinosaurs 12.50 (5.50) NoBet
17:07 Romford Lady Shamrock 9.00 (6.00) W £2.73 £2.59
17:38 Romford Fabulaous Drama 15.50 (8.00) NoBet
17:56 Romford Squirt Wont Hurt 23.00 (7.00) NoBet
18:11 Romford Sherbet Lemon 9.20 (7.00) W £2.68 £2.54
18:38 Newcastle Shananigan Girl 17.00 (13.00) NoBet
18:48 Sittingbourne Sadie Lady 10.50 (6.50) W £2.33 £2.21
18:56 Newcastle Reiver Ridley 10.00 (6.00) L £2.47 -£22.20
19:22 Sittingbourne Sign Lock 13.00 (6.00) NoBet
19:25 Belle Vue Glengat Hoover 22.00 (8.00) NoBet
19:26 Newcastle Aviva Lynx 9.60 (7.00) W £2.45 £2.33
19:30 Hove Woodmancote Star 26.00 (6.00) NoBet
19:40 Belle Vue Beckhams Bessie 16.00 (4.50) NoBet
19:55 Belle Vue Kersal Honkitonk 10.00 (4.50) W £2.36 £2.24
20:13 Newcastle Pimlico Marion 8.00 (4.50) W £3.05 £2.89
20:18 Hove Lady Hurricane 10.50 (5.50) W £2.26 £2.15
21:07 Sittingbourne Trosley Hawk 10.50 (6.00) W £2.27 £2.16
21:22 Sittingbourne Riviera Rocco 26.00 (9.00) NoBet
21:24 Hove Reagrove Rachel 12.00 (7.00) NoBet
21:25 Belle Vue Ammunition 20.00 (5.00) NoBet
21:57 Hove Darth Razor 4.80 (4.50) L £5.70 -£21.68
22:10 Belle Vue Ballymac Nigel 15.00 (5.00) NoBet
22:25 Belle Vue Killshin Jet 15.50 (6.00) NoBet

.

Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 85.9%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £411.89 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £552.90 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £416.55 (5% stakes)

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Day 44 - Lay-zy Dogs 13/05/2011

Well, a little respite from the negative equity Lay-zy dogs seems stuck in at the moment. Need I repeat it again but today’s 94% strike rate shows the success that is needed by this system in order for it to work.   When it does it can return profits like today of £47.

Looking at the level stakes and percentage staking strategies, I would normally be jumping for joy at profits of £108 and £92. But experience of this system now leads me to expect this to be wiped out, if not tomorrow, very soon.

11:03 Oxford Spot Kick 23.00 (7.00) NoBet
11:11 Hove Woodmancote Gem 5.00 (4.50) W £5.15 £4.89
11:19 Oxford Fridays Jewel 16.00 (7.00) NoBet
12:04 Oxford Glynnscross Enda 23.00 (11.00) NoBet
13:04 Oxford Dilton Ellie 46.00 (11.00) NoBet
13:12 Hove Guiness Spot 14.00 (6.00) NoBet
13:51 Oxford Ms Calypso 19.00 (11.00) NoBet
13:58 Hove Karma Hawk 4.40 (4.50) L £6.13 -£20.84
14:18 Monmore Galtee Petal 4.30 (3.50) W £6.00 £5.70
14:27 Swindon Grayfox Pearl 4.60 (4.50) W £5.58 £5.30
14:47 Swindon Thurlesbeg Bliss 9.00 (7.00) W £2.54 £2.42
14:57 Monmore Mosslane Runner 7.00 (5.00) W £3.41 £3.24
15:07 Swindon Fandango Blue 16.00 (9.00) NoBet
15:17 Monmore Ballymac Sun 12.00 (7.00) NoBet
15:48 Swindon Inishowen Ace 3.80 (3.00) W £7.37 £7.00
15:58 Monmore Tyrones Rocket 5.40 (4.00) W £4.77 £4.53
16:18 Monmore Head Iton Venus 19.50 (9.00) NoBet
16:57 Monmore Curra King 9.00 (6.00) W £2.65 £2.52
17:22 Swindon Quivers Rumble 4.80 (5.00) W £5.61 £5.33
18:04 Monmore Whitefort Brolly 4.40 (3.00) W £6.35 £6.04
18:11 Swindon Falkners Eagle 17.00 (8.00) NoBet
18:18 Monmore Texas Revenge 16.50 (7.00) NoBet
18:48 Nottingham Aghaburren Pet 7.00 (7.00) W £3.65 £3.47
19:22 Nottingham Trendy Toots 4.60 (4.00) W £6.13 £5.83
19:26 Sheffield Killough Bar 8.00 (5.00) W £3.20 £3.04
19:37 Nottingham Capla Mac 8.80 (6.00) W £2.89 £2.74
19:52 Nottingham Rock It Audrey 4.90 (5.00) W £5.81 £5.52
20:22 Nottingham Kaukola Ridge 15.00 (7.00) NoBet

.

Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 86.1%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £458.61 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £661.40 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £509.26 (5% stakes)

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Day 45 - Lay-zy Dogs 14/05/2011

Time Meeting Selection BF
Odds
ISP Result Stake Profit / Loss
11:28 Sheffield Bodell Cheryl 9.00 (5.00) W £2.87 £2.72
11:34 Hall Green Run For Reg 5.80 (5.00) L £4.81 -£23.07
11:57 Sheffield Rockchase Amore 12.00 (5.50) W £1.99 £0.00
12:04 Hall Green Benlass Bluesky 28.00 (13.00) NoBet
12:12 Sheffield Stepaside Doll 9.80 (4.50) W £2.49 £2.37
12:32 Hall Green Compass Polly 11.00 (6.00) W £2.20 £2.09
13:12 Sheffield Deltic Tommy 4.30 (4.00) W £6.71 £6.37
13:33 Hall Green Warston Joan 15.50 (7.00) NoBet
13:44 Sheffield Swift Lulu 19.00 (6.00) NoBet
13:51 Hall Green Watchthat Stripe 17.50 (13.00) NoBet
14:08 Monmore Shatani Stef 11.00 (8.00) W £2.25 £2.13
14:18 Swindon Another Banjo 7.00 (5.00) W £3.76 £3.57
14:57 Swindon Valais Swift 12.00 (7.00) NoBet
15:07 Monmore Catunda Bernard 9.00 (9.00) W £2.84 £2.70
15:28 Monmore Santiago House 7.40 (6.00) W £3.57 £3.40
15:38 Swindon Kilgrogan Sam 7.40 (5.00) W £3.60 £3.42
16:27 Monmore Mallogs Bruno 13.00 (9.00) NoBet
17:07 Monmore Iceman Bullet 9.20 (6.00) W £2.83 £2.69
17:33 Swindon Falkners Quiver 5.00 (5.00) W £5.84 £5.55
17:38 Monmore Galtee Poppy 7.00 (4.50) W £3.94 £3.74
18:04 Swindon Hello Bomber 11.00 (6.00) L £2.38 -£23.81
18:11 Monmore Home Ross 8.00 (4.50) W £3.40 £3.23
19:22 Nottingham Big Machine 12.50 (9.00) NoBet

Lay-zy Dogs Overall Strike Rate: 86.1%
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £455.55 (recommended 5% liability staking plan)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £636.90 (£10 level stakes)
Lay-zy Dogs Net Betting Bank: £482.00 (5% stakes)

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Let’s Get Busy, Take a look at Lay-zy Dogs….

11:28 Sheffield Bodell Cheryl 9.00 (5.00) W £2.87 £2.72
11:34 Hall Green Run For Reg 5.80 (5.00) L £4.81 -£23.07
11:57 Sheffield Rockchase Amore 12.00 (5.50) W £1.99 £0.00
12:04 Hall Green Benlass Bluesky 28.00 (13.00) NoBet £0.81 £0.00
12:12 Sheffield Stepaside Doll 9.80 (4.50) W £2.49 £2.37
12:32 Hall Green Compass Polly 11.00 (6.00) W £2.20 £2.09
13:12 Sheffield Deltic Tommy 4.30 (4.00) W £6.71 £6.37
13:33 Hall Green Warston Joan 15.50 (7.00) NoBet £1.55 £0.00
13:44 Sheffield Swift Lulu 19.00 (6.00) NoBet £1.25 £0.00
13:51 Hall Green Watchthat Stripe 17.50 (13.00) NoBet £1.36 £0.00
14:08 Monmore Shatani Stef 11.00 (8.00) W £2.25 £2.13
14:18 Swindon Another Banjo 7.00 (5.00) W £3.76 £3.57
14:57 Swindon Valais Swift 12.00 (7.00) NoBet £2.07 £0.00
15:07 Monmore Catunda Bernard 9.00 (9.00) W £2.84 £2.70
15:28 Monmore Santiago House 7.40 (6.00) W £3.57 £3.40
15:38 Swindon Kilgrogan Sam 7.40 (5.00) W £3.60 £3.42
16:27 Monmore Mallogs Bruno 13.00 (9.00) NoBet £1.93 £0.00
17:07 Monmore Iceman Bullet 9.20 (6.00) W £2.83 £2.69
17:33 Swindon Falkners Quiver 5.00 (5.00) W £5.84 £5.55
17:38 Monmore Galtee Poppy 7.00 (4.50) W £3.94 £3.74
18:04 Swindon Hello Bomber 22.00 (6.00) NoBet £1.13 £0.00
18:11 Monmore Home Ross 8.00 (4.50) W £3.40 £3.23
19:22 Nottingham Big Machine 12.50 (9.00) NoBet £2.08 £0.00
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