Value Backing Service Review

Value Backing Service Review

Welcome to our review of Value Backing

Value Backing is the brainchild of Carl Nicholson and actually offers two separate services,
namely Value Backing (which we’re reviewing here) and VB Extra (click here for a review of this one)
Value Backing currently costs £29.99 per month or £99.99 for 6 months (a 44% saving)
and is an occasional (big meeting) value bets service.

Carl’s idea was for a value based approach to betting similar to the likes of Pricewise
and he has since established a value priced service in which he sends an email message
containing selections with suggested stakes and available BOG bookies/prices.
The service can go a few days without a selection as Carl’s aim is to find what he believes
are under-priced and therefore value bets, where the stakes will generally be 1pt win or 1/2pt each-way.

The strike rate for Value Backing is relatively modest but combined with the decent prices,
it has proved to be profitable as can be seen from the results data. Since inception 9 months ago,
Carl has advised 131 bets and 24 of these have been successful (strike rate = 18.3%).

A total of £1485 was staked on these selections (at £10 per point) and profits of £722
have been recorded: this represents a 48.6% return on investments made. Occasionally,
such as recently, Carl will provide ad-hoc tips such as he did for the Breeders Cup,
where he nabbed a couple of tasty priced winners.

We shall review the Value Backing service for a minimum of 60 days, using our standard
£10 = 1pt level stakes and all results will declared at the odds advised by Carl,
after we’ve checked they’re available, of course!

Chris Worrall

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Value Backing Review Results

Value Backing : Day 1 : 30/11/12

2.40 Newbury : Stow 1 point win LOST

Daily P/L: -£10.00

Trial P/L : -£10.00

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Value Backing: Day 2 : 1/12/12

3.10 Newbury : Carruthers 1/2 point E/W LOST

3.40 Newbury : Micheal Flips 1 point win LOST

Daily P/L : -£20.00

Trial P/L : -£30.00

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Value Backing: Day 3 : 8/12/12

2.30 Sandown : Petit Robin 1 point win at 9-1 BOG: WON at 11/1

Daily P/L: +£110.00

Trial P/L: +£80.00

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Value Backing: Day 4 : 21/12/12

For 22/12/12 ante-post 3.10 Ascot : Rattan 1 point win at 20/1

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Value Backing: Day 4 : 22/12/12

As above LOST

Daily P/L: -£10.00

Trial P/L: +£70.00

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Value Backing: Day 5 : TBA

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Value Backing : Day 5 : 5/1/13

2.40 Wincanton : Consigliere 1 point win at 9/2 LOST

3.20 Chepstow : two horses, Master Overseer, Arbor Supreme 1/2 point each LOST

Daily P/L : -£20.00

Trial P/L : +£50.00

Carl has also advised three ante-post bets today, with non-runner free bet bookmakers

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Value Backing : Day 6 : 12/1/13

2.40 Kempton : Oscara Dara 1 point win at 6/1 WON

Daily P/L : +£60.00

Trial P/L : +£110.00

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Value Backing : Day 7 : 26/1/13

12.40 Cheltenham : McMurrough 1/2 point e/w at 25/1 LOST

4.10 Cheltenham : Quaddick Lake 1/2 point win at 14/1 LOST

Bourne 1/2 point win at 14/1 LOST

Daily P/L : -£20.00

Trial P/L : +£90.00

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Value Backing : Day 8 : 2/2/13

3.45 Ffos Las : American Life 1/2 point e/w at 25/1 LOST

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : +£80.00

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Value Backing : Day 9 : 9/2/13

3.35 Newbury : Princeton Plains 1/2 point e/w at 50/1 (5 places with Bet365) : LOST

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : +£70.00

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Value Backing : Day 10 : 16/2/13

2.55 Haydock : Trigger The Light (advised 15/2/13) 1/2 point e/w at 33/1/ BOG LOST

3.15 Ascot : Top Of The Range 1/2 point e/w at 16/1 BOG 3rd

Daily P/L : +£5.00

Trial P/L : +£75.00

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Value Backing : Day 11 : 2/3/13

3.15 Newbury : Knight In Purple 1 point win at 5/1 BOG LOST

3.50 Newbury : The Knoxs 1 point win at 22/1 BOG LOST

Daily P/L : -£20.00

Trial P/L : +£55.00

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Value Backing : Day 12 : 9/3/13

2.05 Sandown : The Italian Yob 1 point win at 20/1 BOG LOST

3.15 Sandown : General Miller 1 point win at 22/1 BOG LOST

Daily P/L : -£20.00

Trial P/L : +£35.00

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Value Backing : Day 13 : 12/3/13

1.30 Cheltenham: Dodging Bullets 1/2 pt win @ 20/1 : 9th
2.40 Cheltenham: Tullamore Dew 1/2 pt E/W @ 40/1 BOG : 4th at 33/1
3.20 Cheltenham: Grandouet 1pt win @ 8/1: fell

Daily P/L : +£30.00

Trial P/L : +£65.00

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Value Backing : Day 14 : 13/3/13

2.40 Cheltenham : Unioniste (again already advised) 1/2 point win at 20/1 BOG LOST

4.00 Cheltenham : Any Given Day 1/2 point e/w at 40/1 BOG LOST

Daily P/L : -£15.00

Trial P/L : +£50.00

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Value Backing : Day 15 : 14/3/13

4.40 Cheltenham : Prince Of Pirates 1 point win at 14/1 BOG LOST

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : +£40.00

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Value Backing : Day 16 : 15/3/13

2.05 Cheltenham : Tennis Cap 1 point win at 12/1 BOG LOST

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : +£30.00

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Value Backing : Day 17 : 30/3/13

3.35  Musselburgh : Fraserburgh, advised yesterday at 12/1BOG : LOST

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : +£20.00

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Value Backing : Day 18 : 4/4/13

3.40 Aintree : Cool Friend 1/2 point e/w at 50/1 BOG: placed 2nd

Daily P/L : +£50.00

Trial P/L : +£70.00

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Value Backing : Day 19 : 6/4/13

4.15 Aintree : Join Together 1/2 point win at 20/1 BOG, already advised: lost

Daily P/L : -£5.00

Trial P/L : +£65.00

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Although we have finished this VB Extra review, I think it only fair to say that Carl has given us two big-priced winners recently, putting this system well into credit.

Value Backing : Day 20 : 11/4/13

7.30 Kempton : Takeitfromalady 1 point win at 8/1 BOG : lost

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : +£55.00

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Value Backing : Day 21 : 12/4/13

3.30 Doncaster : Colonel Mak 1 point win at 25/1 BOG : lost

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : +£45.00

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Value Backing : Day 22 : 18/4/13

4.20 Cheltenham : Monetary Fund 1 point win at 14/1 BOG : lost

5.45 Newmarket : Heading North 1 point win at 10/1 BOG : lost

Daily P/L : -£20.00

Trial P/L : +£25.00

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Value Backing : Day 23 : 19/4/13

3.05 Newbury (advised 18/4/13) 1 point win at 9/1 BOG : lost

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : +£15.00

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Carl has an interesting lay bet for tomorrow’s snooker.

The lay bet lost…bad luck

Value Backing : Day 24 : 20/4/13

4.00 Thirsk : Easy Terms 1 point win at 7/1 BOG : lost

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : +£5.00

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Value Backing : Day 25 : 27/4/13

3.50 Sandown: Saint Are 0.5 pt win @ 25/1 BOG : u/p
3.50 Sandown: Muirhead 0.5 pt win @ 16/1 BOG : 4th

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : -£5.00

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Value Backing : Day 26 : 08/05/13

2.45 Chester: Very Good Day 1/2pt ew @ 25/1 BOG : 11th

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : +£1.25

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Value Backing : Day 27 : 09/05/13

Chester 2.15:  Miblish 1pt win @ 11/1 : 4th

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : -£8.75

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Value Backing : Day 28 : 10/05/13

3.15 Chester: Lyric Ace 1/2 pt E/W @ 20/1 BOG : 8th

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : -£18.75

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Value Backing : Day 29 : 11/05/13

Ascot 3.50: Born To Surprise 1/2pt e/w @ 18/1 BOG : 13th

Ascot 3.50: King Of Eden 1/2pt e/w @ 33/1 BOG : 17th

Daily P/L : -£20.00

Trial P/L : -£38.75

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Value Backing : Day 30 : 15/05/13

York 1.45: Clayton 0.5pt win @ 6/1  BOG : 6th

York 1.45:  Itlaaq 0.5 pt win @ 16/1 BOG : 8th

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : -£48.75

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Value Backing : Day 31 : 16/05/13

1.45 York: Dungannon @ 8/1 BOG : 7th
3.15 York: Brae Hill @ 16/1 BOG : 5th

Daily P/L : -£20.00

Trial P/L : -£68.75

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Value Backing : Day 32 : 17/05/13

2.15 York: Pulpitarian  @ 50/1 E/W BOG : 12th
3.15 York: Hamzada @ 33/1 E/W BOG : 6th

Daily P/L : -£20.00

Trial P/L : -£88.75

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Value Backing : Day 33 : 18/05/13

2.55 Newmarket: Victorix Ludorum 0.5pts @ 18/1 BOG : 4th
2.55 Newmarket: Shahdaroba 0.5pts @ 16/1 BOG  : 13th

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : -£98.75

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Value Backing : No Bets from 19/5 to 23/5 inclusive

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Value Backing : Day 34 : 25/05/13

2.55 York: Ancient Cross 1pt win @ 12/1 BOG : 12th

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : -£108.75

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Value Backing : Day 35 : 31/05/13

2.10 Epsom: Resurge @ 13/2 BOG : won at 6/1

Daily P/L : +£65.00

Trial P/L : -£43.75

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Value Backing : Day 36 : 18/06/13

3.45 Ascot: Glory Awaits 1/2pt E/W @ 33/1 : unplaced

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : -£53.75

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Value Backing : Day 37 : 19/06/13

4.25 Ascot: Sweet Lightning 1/2 pt E/W @ 25/1 : unplaced
5.35 Ascot: Zurigha 1pt win @ 12/1 : unplaced

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : -£63.75

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Value Backing : Day 38 : 20/06/13

5.00 Ascot : Chopin 1 point win at 6/1 : unplaced

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : -£73.75

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Value Backing : Day 39 : 22/06/13

3.45 Ascot: Krypton Factor 1/2 pt E/W @ 25/1: 3rd at 25/1

3.45 Ascot: Zanetto 1/2 pt E/W @ 33/1 : unplaced

Daily P/L : +£10.00

Trial P/L : -£63.75

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Value Backing : Day 40 : 29/06/13

2.40 Newcastle: Summerinthecity 1pt win @ 18/1  BOG : unplaced

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : -£73.75

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Value Backing : Day 41 : 06/07/13

2.40 Sandown: Directorship 1pt win @ 12/1 BOG : Unplaced

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : -£83.75

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Value Backing : Day 42 : 11/07/13

3.15 Newmarket Tarikhi 1pt win @ 7/1 BOG : 3rd at 11/2

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : -£93.75

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Value Backing : Day 43 : 12/07/13

3.15 Newmarket 1pt win Tennessee Wildcat @ 22/1 BOG : unplaced

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : -£103.75

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Value Backing : Day 44 : 13/07/13

3.50 Newmarket: Havelock 1/2pt ew @ 66/1 BOG : unplaced

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : -£113.75

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Value Backing : Day 45 : 20/07/13

2.55 Market Rasen: Tzora 1pt win @ 14/1 BOG : fell

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : -£123.75

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Value Backing : Day 46 : 27/07/13

3.15 Ascot: Hefner 0.5pts E/W @ 33/1 BOG : unplaced

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : -£133.75

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Value Backing : Day 47 : 30/07/13

3.40 Goodwood: Sir Graham Wade 1pt @ 10/1 BOG : unplaced

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : -£143.75

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Value Backing : Day 48 : 31/07/13

1.55 Goodwood: Beyond 1pt @ 12/1 BOG: unplaced

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : -£153.75

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Value Backing : Day 49 : 01/08/13

3.15 Goodwood: Altano 1pt @ 7/1 BOG : 3rd at 8/1

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : -£163.75

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Value Backing : Day 50 : 02/08/13

3.05 Goodwood: Dance And Dance 1pt @ 7/1 BOG: unplaced

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : -£173.75

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Value Backing : Day 51 : 03/08/13

2.05 Goodwood: Enrol 1pt @ 8/1 BOG: unplaced

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : -£183.75

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Value Backing : Day 52 : 17/08/13

2.55 Newmarket: Secret In The Park 1pt @ 7/1 BOG : 2nd at 13/2
3.50 Newbury: Glen Moss 1pt @ 11/2 BOG : won at 5/2

Daily P/L : +£45.00

Trial P/L : -£138.75

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Value Backing : Day 53 : 21/08/13

1.55 York: Lady Gibraltar  1pt @ 14/1 BOG : unplaced

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : -£148.75

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Value Backing : Day 54 : 22/08/13

1.55 York: Miracle Of Medinah 0.5pts E/W @ 16/1 BOG : unplaced
3.40 York: Scintillula 0.5pts E/W @ 16/1 BOG : unplaced

Daily P/L : -£20.00

Trial P/L : -£168.75

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Value Backing : Day 55 : 23/08/13

1.55 York: Chancery  1pt @ 11/1 BOG : won at 7/1

Daily P/L : +£110.00

Trial P/L : -£58.75

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Value Backing : Day 56 : 24/08/13

2.05 York: Lightning Cloud 0.5pts E/W @ 18/1 BOG : unplaced
2.40 York: Elidor 0.5pts E/W @ 18/1 BOG : unplaced

Daily P/L : -£20.00

Trial P/L : -£78.75

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Value Backing : Day 57 : 31/08/13

2.05 Sandown: Ask The Guru 0.5pts E/W @ 33/1 BOG : unplaced

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : -£88.75

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Value Backing : Day 58 : 07/09/13

1.55 Ascot: Trail Blaze 1pt @ 20/1 BOG : 4th at 14/1

Daily P/L : -£10.00

Trial P/L : -£98.75

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Value Backing : Day 59 : 14/09/13

3.15 Doncaster: Casper Netscher 1pt @ 16/1 BOG : unplaced
3.50 Doncaster: Havana Beat 0.5pts E/W @ 66/1 : unplaced

Daily P/L : -£20.00

Trial P/L : -£118.75

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Value Backing : Day 60 : ??/09/13

 

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