Lay-zy Dogs System Review

Lay-zy Dogs System Review

Lay-zy Dogs is a laying system for the UK Greyhound Meetings.   The cost of the system is £37 which gives you a 23-page PDF of the Lay-zy Dogs system rules and a full worked example of the rules.

There are seven Lay-zy Dog rules to apply which focus on finding the combination of poor trap draw and likely poor performance of the dog in that trap.   The rules take a little bit of getting used to but once you have done a few selections it does become easier.   In fact I found myself operating the rules in a slightly different order due to how the data appeared on the websites.

In terms of what do you need to run Lay-zy dogs?   You need access to the internet and two websites, The Greyhound Breeding and Racing Database and The Racing Post, both of which are free to access.   Because there are many races to look through, I found it useful to use my printer to produce a hardcopy of the meeting (not individual races) .   In this way I could mark off whether a meeting qualified for selection or not.

Personally I would also recommend a betting bot if you cannot, or do not want to be sat at in front of the computer all day.   Lay-zy Dogs selections can be made the evening before, or on the morning of, the day’s racing. Therefore it is simple enough to load them into your bot in the morning and fire it up.

Matt Houghton, author of Lay-zy Dogs, does address the little concern I have with any laying greyhound system, which is the issue of liquidity an liability.   The liquidity of the markets is not good, therefore it can lead to some serious liability, which is reflected by the limit placed on the lay bets of 11.0.   However, Matt keeps the losses to a minium by advising staking to liability and specifically suggesting laying to a liability of 5% of your bank.   Although if you feel this is too adventurous, or not adventurous enough, you can adjust your stake accordingly.

As for how I intend to approach the Lay-zy Dogs review?    I will select two or three cards at random and make the selections from those cards.   I will start with a betting bank of £1,000 and stake to 5% liability as suggested in the manual.   The selections will be monitored via paper trading on a betting bot to determine the lay odds available. The Lay-zy Dogs ’virtual bets’ will be placed in the 20 seconds before the scheduled race start. 

I have included the Industry SP in the results purely for comparision purposes only.   They play NO part in any of the bet calculations.   It will be interesting to see how the exchange odds differ from the bookie prices.

———- Lay-zy Dogs Detailed Results ——–

Day 1 - Lay-zy Dogs 31/03/2011

There are 13 selections from today’s meetings at Romford, Crayford and Belle Vue:

Time	Meeting	Selection	BF Odds	ISP	Result	Stake	Profit / Loss
14:08	Romford	Pouldine Kiowa	8.00	(6.00)	W	£3.57	£3.39
14:27	Romford	Gouldiam Robin	8.00	(5.50)	W	£3.60	£3.42
15:17	Crayford	Playfield Era	4.60	(4.00)	W	£7.04	£6.69
16:08	Romford	Gulvins Luck	7.00	(5.00)	W	£4.28	£4.07
16:18	Crayford	Heaven Sent	>11	(9.00)	NoBet
16:37	Crayford	Stayinbythewall	10.00	(6.00)	W	£2.88	£2.73
17:17	Crayford	Nanny Ni Hills	3.75	(4.00)	L	£9.46	-£26.01
18:04	Crayford	Fawkham Veri	9.60	(6.00)	W	£2.87	£2.73
18:18	Crayford	Bulletproof	6.00	(6.00)	W	£4.97	£4.72
19:25	Belle Vue	Princess Liz	>11	(7.00)	NoBet
19:55	Belle Vue	Seathwaite City	>11	(7.00)	NoBet
20:25	Belle Vue	Wilcos Thunder	>11	(5.50)	NoBet
21:40	Belle Vue	Autumn Hope	>11	(8.00)	NoBet

 

Potentially, it looks like the afternoon meetings, rather than the evening meetings, are better selections to achieve the odds required to make a bet.   No conclusion should be drawn at this early stage for Lay-zy Dogs, but one hypothesis is that the afternoon meetings draw more attention therefore have a greater liquidity that the evening cards.

Profit / Loss Today: £1.73
Overall Strike Rate: 87.5%
Net Betting Bank: £501.73

————————————————————————-

Day 2 - Lay-zy Dogs 01/04/2011

I have opted for 16 selections from today’s meetings at Oxford, Hove, Monmore and Swindon:

Time	Meeting	Selection	BF Odds	ISP	Result	Stake	Profit / Loss
11:19	Oxford	Global Maldini	3.95	(3.50)	W	£8.50	£8.08
12:04	Oxford	Dilton Ellie	16.00	(9.00)	NoBet
12:27	Hove	Viewpark Jinky	18.00	(8.00)	NoBet
12:47	Oxford	Fane Cracker	12.00	(7.00)	NoBet
13:19	Oxford	Greencroft Honch	16.50	(9.00)	NoBet
13:44	Hove	Jumeirah Bee	14.50	(6.00)	NoBet
13:58	Hove	Johns Not Rotten	16.00	(7.00)	NoBet
14:08	Swindon	Bolt The Gate	8.60	(6.00)	W	£3.35	£3.19
14:18	Monmore	Kitchen Sink	10.00	(7.00)	W	£2.85	£2.71
14:37	Monmore	Direct Angie	9.00	(6.00)	W	£3.22	£3.06
15:07	Swindon	Clydal Stride	14.00	(8.00)	NoBet
15:48	Swindon	Line cut	5.60	(3.75)	W	£5.64	£5.36
16:27	Swindon	Annual Arrow	6.40	(5.00)	W	£4.85	£4.61
17:07	Swindon	Class Eagle	10.50	(5.00)	W	£2.78	£2.64
17:33	Monmore	Blazer Diamond	2.92	(2.75)	W	£13.84	£13.15
18:18	Monmore	Murlens Raven	4.50	(4.00)	W	£7.78	£7.39

 

A wonderful day today for Lay-zy Dogs, with all qualifiying lay bets winning, giving us a profit of over £50.   Again, it is noticable that the afternoon meetings were able to achieve their bets, this time better than the morning meetings.   This could be another indicator that the afternoon cards are more liquid and potentially give us better odds.

Profit / Loss Today: £50.18
Overall Strike Rate: 94.1%
Net Betting Bank: £551.91

————————————————————————-

Day 3 - Lay-zy Dogs 02/04/2011

16 selections today from a combination of Crayford, Newcastle, Poole, Sittingbourne and Hall Green.   I have opted for a selection from early afternoon through to late evening to see if there is any noticable difference in the odds.

Time	Meeting	Selection	BF Odds	ISP	Result	Stake	Profit / Loss
13:11	Crayford	Newlawn Scarty	5.40	(4.50)	W	£6.27	£5.96
13:44	Crayford	Swift Rewavance	6.40	(5.00)	W	£5.17	£4.91
15:37	Newcastle	Barrhead Black	22.00	(13.00)	NoBet
15:53	Newcastle	Matty’s Girl	12.00	(6.00)	NoBet
18:33	Poole	Rambos Illusion	4.90	(3.25)	W	£7.22	£6.85
18:44	Sittingbourne	Local Event	9.80	(6.00)	L	£3.24	-£28.48
19:06	Poole	Nevus Blue	10.50	(7.00)	W	£2.85	£2.71
19:50	Hall Green	Watch For Fun	21.00	(6.00)	NoBet
20:04	Sittingbourne	Hedsor Dianne	28.00	(11.00)	NoBet
20:05	Hall Green	Lagganmore Hawk	13.00	(4.50)	NoBet
20:20	Hall Green	Ardera Chloe	13.00	(4.50)	NoBet
20:36	Sittingbourne	Barngrane Alan	10.50	(6.00)	W	£2.86	£2.72
20:41	Poole	King Dior	8.00	(6.00)	W	£3.90	£3.71
20:52	Sittingbourne	Star Fish	7.00	(5.00)	W	£4.59	£4.36
21:20	Hall Green	Ballinclare Lee	85.00	(6.00)	NoBet
21:22	Sittingbourne	Kiwis Dilemma	20.00	(9.00)	NoBet

 

A small profit of almost £3 today for Lay-zy Dogs, which is better than a loss, so I shouldn’t complain.   However, it is very noticable how the lay odds on the greyhounds are quite high, hence our seven wins from the day were almost cancelled out by the one loss at Sittingbourne.   One extreme example of the liquidity issue was highlighted in the 21:20 at Hall Green where we could only achieve lay odds of 85.0 within 20 seconds of the race starting, yet 5/1 was available to back Ballinclare Lee with the bookmakers.

Profit / Loss Today: £2.73
Overall Strike Rate: 92.0%
Net Betting Bank: £554.64

————————————————————————-

Day 4 - Lay-zy Dogs 03/04/2011

Brought back down to earth with a bit of a bump, wiping out any gain the bank had made todate.   This just shows the impact of a few losing lays at these odds.

Todays’ selections were from every race meeting possible that Betfair was publishing and available through the betting bot.   For the record some points of note are:

• Two qualifying races at Perry Barr were abondonned, which could have effected the bottom line for the day in either direction.
• Both the 12:32 at Pery Barr and the 15:27 at Kinsley, the odds disqualified the selection from placing a bet.   However both produced dogs that won their races.   In both cases the odds recorded were not a million miles away from the 11.0 limit set by the system.   Therefore it could have been a pretty disastrous result if they had both qualified.

Time	Meeting	Selection	BF Odds	ISP	Result	Stake	Profit / Loss
11:19	Perry Barr	Best Sunshine	12.00	(7.00)	NoBet	£2.52	£0.00
11:34	Perry Barr	Solway King	3.50	(3.25)	W	£11.09	£10.54
11:58	Hove	Doidys Dream	8.20	(5.50)	W	£3.92	£3.73
12:13	Hove	Swift Chariot	11.00	(8.00)	W	£2.84	£2.70
12:18	Perry Barr	Autumn Fusion	5.10	(4.00)	L	£6.97	-£28.58
12:32	Perry Barr	Big Nellie	13.50	(9.00)	NoBet
12:42	Hove	Mandela House	7.00	(6.00)	W	£4.53	£4.30
13:04	Perry Barr	Chapelane Carty	9.60	(7.00)	L	£3.18	-£27.37
13:19	Perry Barr	Highfire Charlie	3.90	(3.25)	L	£8.96	-£26.00
13:33	Perry Barr	Polnoon Jet	7.80		NoBet		Abandonned
13:44	Hove	Karma Light	3.40	(3.25)	W	£10.29	£9.78
13:51	Perry Barr	Rhincrew George	9.00		NoBet		Abandonned
13:58	Hove	Guiness Black	10.50	(8.00)	W	£2.65	£2.52
14:06	Perry Barr	Cragg Merc	12.00		NoBet
15:13	Kinsley	Royal Trooper	10.50	(6.00)	W	£2.66	£2.53
15:22	Oxford	Active Wasp	5.40	(5.00)	W	£5.78	£5.49
15:27	Kinsley	Boozed Tangler	11.50	(7.00)	NoBet
15:59	Kinsley	Satellite Ninja	7.80	(6.00)	W	£3.78	£3.59
16:14	Kinsley	Feystown Ollie	10.00	(9.00)	W	£2.88	£2.73
16:54	Oxford	Greencroft Angel	11.50	(5.00)	NoBet
17:11	Oxford	Bright Hawk	10.50	(5.00)	W	£2.74	£2.60
17:27	Oxford	Ballymac Said	7.00	(7.00)	W	£4.36	£4.14
17:44	Oxford	Shelbourne Perk	4.30	(4.00)	L	£7.99	-£26.37

 

Profit / Loss Today: -£53.66
Overall Strike Rate: 85.4%
Net Betting Bank: £500.98

————————————————————————-

Take a look at Lay-zy Dogs….

.