How To Pick “Big Value” Winners
The vast majority of punters believe that the sole purpose of betting is purely and simply to find the winner, but all professional punters know that to be successful in your gambling it is not so much about finding the winner, it is about finding the value winner. Too many people will ‘lump on’ the short priced favourite in a race as they believe it has the best chance of winning, and that might well be true, but if the odds do not reflect the true chance of it winning then it is NOT a value bet.
Value is an alien concept to many a gambler, but those who do understand it and appreciate its importance, consider themselves more investors than gamblers. Take for example the toss of a coin – if you were offered evens or 1/1 that it would land on heads, then over the course of 100 tosses you would expect to walk away no better or worse off. However, if the odds on offer were 11/10, then over the course of the same 100 coin tosses, you’d expect to walk away in profit.
It’s the same with horse racing. You should be looking to get a slight advantage over the bookie by picking up the horses that are priced bigger than their true chance of winning.
So, how are we going to achieve this? Well there is a system out there known as The Value Horse Method that claims to be able to provide you with the tools and knowledge necessary to pick out these value bets. The author has been using this system for over three years now and claims to make an average of £1500 a week - not bad going by anyone’s standards!
Value Horse Method is so versatile it’s even possible to use the methods contained within the book to make risk free bets. The average day will see you focus on two or three particular races and it will then take you between 10 and 20 minutes per race to make your selections. Initially it may seem like a bit of work to use, but for those kind of profits I’d suggest it’s well worth it!
However, for those of you who prefer to use software to do the hard work for you then you may want to check out The Value Horse Finder. This is an amazing piece of software that’s been specially programmed to work around the ideas contained within the original book and it makes the job of operating the system an absolute breeze.
The Value Horse Finder takes all of three simple steps to use. The first step is to load the races you’re interested in into the software, then you start it running and finally you place your bets when it alerts you. The interface can look a bit daunting at first glance and it might take a couple of days for you to familiarise yourself with all of the features, but once mastered this little bit of kit could send you on the way to fantastic profits day after day.
So, if you prefer the old fashioned way, head on over to Value Horse Method, but if you’re a more cutting edge kinda punter why not try The Value Horse Finder. Whichever you choose, you’ll be well on your way to a unique betting system that practically forces you to win.
@Kay – I can’t really give you any more information than I’ve shared here as I’ve tried to cover it as best as I can and the spreadsheet I posted will let you track your arb bets.
The Value Horse Method book covers the original strategy that the software is based on and it goes into detail about how you can flip your bets between the win and place markets. It’s different to what I’m doing these days, but it sounds as though that’s ideally what you’re looking to do.
No probs Paul. Many thanks for your assitance.
Hello Paul.
I decided to give VHF another try after its recent upgrade. I no longer have the technical issues I was having before with the old version, so its scanning ok. At present, I am monitoring the system on equal returns and a 5 ROI%, and scanning from 10min before start of races. VHF now has two bookies comparison sites to chose from – oddschecker or bestbetting.
I have been monitoring the system now for about 3 days. It’s come up with arbs alerts, but every single time when it does this and I click through to the bookie site to simulate placing the bet, the odds would have changed and shorten to the same or below the betfair odds. This has happened on every single occasion.
In the oddschecker site, the bookie that normally sets of the arbs is Ladbrokes, but when I click through to their site, the odds is no longer available and would have shorten and fallen in line with other bookies. It would appear Ladbrokes is just slow in updating its odds and making VHF to detect an arb when there is actually none. This has happened occassionally with some other bookies like Blue Sq, VC, Coral and Bet365. In a nut shell, the odds that VHF identifies as an arb are never available when you try to place a bet at these odds with the bookies.
In the bestbetting site, the bookie that normally sets this off is a bookie called Bet 1128. I have not really bothered with them because their odds just seem unreal. For example, when all other bookies are showing say 25, they will be showing something like 43. It just does not seem right.
How have you guys been able to make money with this system – VHF?
@Kay – read back through the posts here and you’ll get a pretty good idea of what I do. It’s actually very easy to do it the way I’ve explained.
For technical issues re VHF you really need to speak to the guys who sell it.
Hello Paul
I was following this thread with great interest a few months back and was planning to buy the software with a view to using during the winter when I’m able to get to my computer in the afternoons more often – but there hasn’t been anything to read here for a few months now, could you tell me if it’s still something you or your readers are using on a daily basis, and more importantly, is it still profitable??!!
Thanks
Sorry for the delay in replying to this. I was just in the process of redesigning the site when I came across your message. The new design will be make it much easier to follow the reviews and comments.
The software is just as profitable as ever and always will be I'd imagine. I can't think of a reason why it won't continue to work just as as well on a long-term basis.